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Mesa Heat (7-5)

Region: AZ 2 Div-2State: AZCoach: Geoff Larsen

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11at Gilbert II (2-8)AZ 2 Div-269.88W14- 2 0.075  
3/25GILBERT II (2-8)AZ 2 Div-269.88W12- 5 0.075  
3/27LITTLETON (6-9)CO So-Sub86.8L2-10 -0.050  
3/28at Pinnacle (3-7)AZ 2 Div-273.47W9- 8 0.175  
4/04CATALINA FOOTHILLS (4-7)AZ 2 Div-275.56W9- 8 0.225  
4/08NOTRE DAME PREP (8-4)AZ 2 Div-281.03L5-10 -0.225  
4/14at Phoenix Country Day (7-5)AZ 2 Div-277.25W5- 1 0.200  
4/18at Horizon (10-3)AZ 2 Div-284.42L7- 8 -0.100  
4/25ORO VALLEY (2-8)AZ 2 Div-268.49W9- 2 0.025  
4/30at Estrella (0-10)AZ 2 Div-261.810W13- 1 0.000  
5/02at Salpointe Catholic (12-0)AZ 2 Div-287.11L8-11 -0.150  
5/06PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (7-5)AZ 2 Div-277.25L8- 9 -0.300  
 76.0     -0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11AGilbert II14-212   7       ++0.01       5.10
3/25HGilbert II12-57   7       -0.01       0.08
3/27HLittleton2-10-8   -8       -0.25       -0.12
3/28APinnacle9-81   3       0.01       -2.09
4/04HCatalina Foothills9-81   1       -0.01       -0.22
4/08HNotre Dame Prep5-10-5   -1       -0.01       -3.79
4/14APhoenix Country Day5-14   2       0.01       1.91
4/18AHorizon7-8-1   -6       ++0.01       4.52
4/25HOro Valley9-27   9       -0.01       -1.56
4/30AEstrella13-112   14       0.01       -2.09
5/02ASalpointe Catholic8-11-3   -4       0.01       1.25
5/06HPhoenix Country Day8-9-1   2       -0.01       -3.11
         0.00-0.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/11AGilbert II14-2-2.00
4/30AEstrella13-12.09
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 1990
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.71   Natl Power Rank 1990
Natl SOS Rating 76.09   Natl SOS Rank 2522
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1581
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 1088
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.7



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