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Mount Carmel Sun Devils (5-13)

Conference: D1Region: CA NorthState: CACoach: John Whittles

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/09MONTE VISTA-SPG VALLEY (7-12)CA Grosmnt84.0W6- 4 0.125  
3/11at San Dieguito (10-10)CA Coastal89.5L5- 9 -0.150  
3/13at Serra (0-17)CA City80.3W12- 3 0.150  
3/16at Monte Vista-Spg Valley (7-12)CA Grosmnt84.0W7- 5 0.175  
3/19at Santana (8-13)CA Grosmnt87.1W11- 6 0.275  
3/23SERRA (0-17)CA City80.3W8- 3 0.100  
3/27at Mira Mesa (6-8)CA City89.0L5-10 -0.175  
4/01at San Dieguito (10-10)CA Coastal89.5L3- 7 -0.150  
4/03at Scripps Ranch (9-7)CA City90.5L4-13 -0.075  
4/13at La Costa Canyon (17-4)CA North97.12L2-15 0.000  
4/22TORREY PINES (10-9)CA North93.08L3-12 0.000  
4/24TEMECULA GREAT OAK (10-5)CA Indep92.29L5-14 -0.075  
4/27RANCHO BERNARDO (16-4)CA North95.73L4-15 0.000  
5/01at Fallbrook (9-9)CA North89.7L7-12 -0.175  
5/06CARLSBAD (7-8)CA North91.6L4-15 -0.100  
5/11at Poway (11-6)CA North93.75L1-15 0.000  
5/13SAN MARCOS (8-10)CA North90.8L5- 7 -0.125  
5/18at Westview (7-11)CA North90.0L3-12 -0.125  
 89.3     -0.32  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09HMonte Vista-Spg Valley6-42   5       –-0.99       -2.58
3/11ASan Dieguito5-9-4   -4       0.99       -0.19
3/13ASerra12-39   4       ++0.99       4.71
3/16AMonte Vista-Spg Valley7-52   3       0.99       -0.60
3/19ASantana11-65   -1       +++0.99       6.36
3/23HSerra8-35   6       -0.99       -1.27
3/27AMira Mesa5-10-5   -3       0.99       -1.90
4/01ASan Dieguito3-7-4   -4       0.99       -0.19
4/03AScripps Ranch4-13-9   -7       –0.99       -2.14
4/13ALa Costa Canyon2-15-13   -17       ++0.99       4.27
4/22HTorrey Pines3-12-9   -11       +-0.99       2.37
4/24HTemecula Great Oak5-14-9   -7       -0.99       -1.99
4/27HRancho Bernardo4-15-11   -13       -0.99       1.98
5/01AFallbrook7-12-5   -3       0.99       -1.63
5/06HCarlsbad4-15-11   -6       ––-0.99       -4.53
5/11APoway1-15-14   -12       –0.99       -2.07
5/13HSan Marcos5-7-2   -5       +-0.99       3.22
5/18AWestview3-12-9   -5       –0.99       -3.83
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13ALa Costa Canyon2-15-4.27
4/27HRancho Bernardo4-15-1.98
5/06HCarlsbad4-151.00
5/11APoway1-152.07
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1146
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.70   Natl Power Rank 1146
Natl SOS Rating 89.29   Natl SOS Rank 586
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.32   Natl Quality Win Rank 2146
W-L Pct Rating 0.28   W-L Pct Rank 2259
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -11.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -8.3



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