| Region: VA Nationl | State: VA | Coach: Dale Nalls |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/12 | at West Potomac (0-12) | VA Patriot | 71.0 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.025 |
3/16 | FALLS CHURCH (7-8) | VA Nationl | 82.1 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | -0.350 |
3/24 | HAYFIELD (7-7) | VA Patriot | 83.5 | | W | 6- | 2 | | 0.175 |
3/26 | WASHINGTON-LEE (10-5) | VA Nationl | 85.3 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
3/30 | at Yorktown (5-12) | VA Nationl | 83.0 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.250 |
4/06 | vs. Herndon # (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.125 |
4/07 | vs. McLean # (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.300 |
4/08 | at West Springfield (14-4) | VA Patriot | 92.3 | 6 | L | 2- | 11 | | -0.025 |
4/14 | at Wakefield HS (0-12) | VA Nationl | 65.0 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Edison (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.0 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/18 | at Battlefield (9-5) | VA Cedar | 90.0 | | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.125 |
4/18 | vs. Centreville # (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.325 |
4/23 | J.E.B. STUART (1-11) | VA Nationl | 70.3 | | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | vs. Yorktown # (5-12) | VA Nationl | 83.0 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.225 |
5/08 | vs. Falls Church # (7-8) | VA Nationl | 82.1 | | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.175 |
5/12 | HAYFIELD (7-7) | VA Patriot | 83.5 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/14 | ROBINSON (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 4- | 17 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 82.5 | | | | | | 0.80 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | A | West Potomac | 12- | 2 | 10 | 9 | | 1.30 | 1.00 | |
3/16 | H | Falls Church | 11- | 12 | -1 | 4 | –– | -1.30 | -5.01 | |
3/24 | H | Hayfield | 6- | 2 | 4 | 3 | | -1.30 | 1.13 | |
3/26 | H | Washington-Lee | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -1.30 | -1.26 | |
3/30 | A | Yorktown | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.30 | 1.49 | |
4/06 | N | Herndon | 4- | 11 | -7 | -5 | | 0.00 | -1.72 | |
4/07 | N | McLean | 7- | 8 | -1 | 2 | – | 0.00 | -2.98 | |
4/08 | A | West Springfield | 2- | 11 | -9 | -9 | | 1.30 | 0.08 | |
4/14 | A | Wakefield HS | 14- | 1 | 13 | 14 | | 1.30 | -1.15 | |
4/17 | A | Edison | 12- | 5 | 7 | 3 | ++ | 1.30 | 4.30 | |
4/18 | A | Battlefield | 4- | 11 | -7 | -5 | – | 1.49 | | -2.01 |
4/18 | N | Centreville | 9- | 8 | 1 | -3 | + | 0.00 | 3.54 | |
4/23 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 18- | 6 | 12 | 13 | | -1.30 | -0.64 | |
5/05 | N | Yorktown | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.19 | |
5/08 | N | Falls Church | 12- | 9 | 3 | 3 | | 0.00 | 0.29 | |
5/12 | H | Hayfield | 14- | 7 | 7 | 3 | ++ | -1.30 | 4.13 | |
5/14 | H | Robinson | 4- | 17 | -13 | -10 | – | -1.30 | -3.39 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.01 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | A | West Potomac | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
4/14 | A | Wakefield HS | 14- | 1 | 1.15 |
4/23 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 18- | 6 | 0.64 |
5/14 | H | Robinson | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.28 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1180 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.54 | | Natl Power Rank | 1180 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.47 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1686 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.80 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 383 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 829 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.0 |
|
