| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 2 | State: MA | Coach: Nathan Kittler |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/30 | MEDFORD (8-10) | MA 1 | 87.0 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.100 |
3/31 | at Norwood (17-5) | MA 2 | 96.8 | | L | 2- | 11 | | -0.075 |
4/02 | WEYMOUTH (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | W | 6- | 5 | ot | 0.250 |
4/08 | FRAMINGHAM (4-14) | MA 1 | 90.0 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
4/09 | at Walpole (24-1) | MA 2 | 98.8 | 1 | L | 1- | 13 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Wellesley (11-11) | MA 2 | 94.9 | | L | 1- | 5 | | -0.125 |
4/15 | at Needham (16-6) | MA 1 | 97.2 | | L | 0- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Dedham (0-17) | MA 3 | 77.1 | | W | 14- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | MEDWAY (6-12) | MA 3 | 89.1 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.150 |
4/24 | NIPMUC REGIONAL (10-8) | MA 2 | 87.0 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/27 | MILTON (1-16) | MA 2 | 84.7 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.075 |
4/29 | NORWOOD (17-5) | MA 2 | 96.8 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | at Newton North (9-11) | MA 1 | 93.8 | | W | 7- | 6 | ot | 0.300 |
5/04 | WALPOLE (24-1) | MA 2 | 98.8 | 1 | L | 4- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | BROOKLINE (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 2- | 5 | | -0.250 |
5/08 | WELLESLEY (11-11) | MA 2 | 94.9 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.175 |
5/11 | at Braintree (14-8) | MA 1 | 95.3 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/13 | DEDHAM (0-17) | MA 3 | 77.1 | | W | 13- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Milton (1-16) | MA 2 | 84.7 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.125 |
5/26 | at Winchester (19-4) | MA 2 | 97.3 | | L | 2- | 11 | | -0.025 |
| | 91.3 | | | | | | 0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/30 | H | Medford | 10- | 3 | 7 | 6 | | -0.91 | 0.98 | |
3/31 | A | Norwood | 2- | 11 | -9 | -7 | – | 0.91 | -2.40 | |
4/02 | H | Weymouth | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | -0.91 | 1.33 | |
4/08 | H | Framingham | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -0.91 | -0.68 | |
4/09 | A | Walpole | 1- | 13 | -12 | -14 | | 0.91 | 1.88 | |
4/14 | A | Wellesley | 1- | 5 | -4 | -5 | | 0.91 | 0.61 | |
4/15 | A | Needham | 0- | 17 | -17 | -11 | ––– | 0.91 | -6.13 | |
4/17 | A | Dedham | 14- | 0 | 14 | 12 | + | 0.91 | 2.46 | |
4/23 | H | Medway | 10- | 7 | 3 | 4 | | -0.91 | -1.04 | |
4/24 | H | Nipmuc Regional | 9- | 3 | 6 | 7 | | -1.19 | | -1.13 |
4/27 | H | Milton | 10- | 5 | 5 | 7 | | -0.91 | -1.59 | |
4/29 | H | Norwood | 4- | 8 | -4 | -5 | | -0.91 | 0.78 | |
5/01 | A | Newton North | 7- | 6 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.91 | 3.43 | |
5/04 | H | Walpole | 4- | 14 | -10 | -12 | + | -0.91 | 2.06 | |
5/06 | H | Brookline | 2- | 5 | -3 | 0 | – | -0.91 | -2.63 | |
5/08 | H | Wellesley | 6- | 8 | -2 | -3 | | -0.91 | 0.78 | |
5/11 | A | Braintree | 4- | 10 | -6 | -4 | | 0.91 | -1.80 | |
5/13 | H | Dedham | 13- | 0 | 13 | 13 | | -0.91 | -0.36 | |
5/15 | A | Milton | 10- | 3 | 7 | 5 | + | 0.91 | 2.23 | |
5/26 | A | Winchester | 2- | 11 | -9 | -9 | | 0.91 | 0.09 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.13 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/09 | A | Walpole | 1- | 13 | -1.88 |
4/15 | A | Needham | 0- | 17 | 6.13 |
4/17 | A | Dedham | 14- | 0 | -2.46 |
5/04 | H | Walpole | 4- | 14 | -2.06 |
5/13 | H | Dedham | 13- | 0 | 0.36 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 439 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.91 | | Natl Power Rank | 439 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.29 | | Natl SOS Rank | 307 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 867 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.50 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1449 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
|
