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Nazareth HS Blue Eagles (5-13)

Region: PA LehighVState: PACoach: Kevin Fogerty

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/21CHESTNUT HILL ACADEMY (9-7)PA Indep86.1L2- 8 -0.150  
3/28ARCHBISHOP RYAN (7-10)PA Cath-No84.9L4-12 -0.150  
3/30at Allentown Cath Central (9-10)PA LehighV84.4L9-10 -0.125  
4/01at William Allen (2-15)PA LehighV79.4W10- 8 0.250  
4/04POTTSGROVE (4-13)PA PAC-1079.9L5- 6 -0.350  
4/06PARKLAND (12-6)PA LehighV87.7L5-20 -0.075  
4/08at Emmaus (19-5)PA LehighV94.57L0-15 0.000  
4/15EASTON (14-7)PA LehighV88.8L3-13 -0.075  
4/18ROMAN CATHOLIC (8-8)PA Cath-So85.6L9-12 -0.125  
4/20at Parkland (12-6)PA LehighV87.7L5-16 -0.025  
4/22ALLENTOWN CATH CENTRAL (9-10)PA LehighV84.4L5- 9 -0.175  
4/25at Moravian Academy (3-13)PA Indep80.4W13- 6 0.225  
4/28WILLIAM ALLEN (2-15)PA LehighV79.4W13- 7 0.175  
4/29EMMAUS (19-5)PA LehighV94.57L1-14 0.000  
5/02MORAVIAN ACADEMY (3-13)PA Indep80.4W7- 5 0.175  
5/04SAUCON VALLEY (5-9)PA Indep82.0W7- 4 0.275  
5/05at Southern Lehigh (14-3)PA Indep87.7L6-14 -0.050  
5/06at Easton (14-7)PA LehighV88.8L5-15 -0.025  
 85.4     -0.22  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/21HChestnut Hill Academy2-8-6   -4       -0.99       -2.29
3/28HArchbishop Ryan4-12-8   -4       ––-1.22       -4.16
3/30AAllentown Cath Central9-10-1   -5       ++1.22       4.27
4/01AWilliam Allen10-82   0       1.22       1.63
4/04HPottsgrove5-6-1   4       ––-1.22       -5.39
4/06HParkland5-20-15   -7       –––-1.22       -8.31
4/08AEmmaus0-15-15   -17       +1.22       2.46
4/15HEaston3-13-10   -7       -1.22       -3.15
4/18HRoman Catholic9-12-3   -5       -1.22       1.61
4/20AParkland5-16-11   -9       1.22       -1.87
4/22HAllentown Cath Central5-9-4   -3       -1.22       -1.17
4/25AMoravian Academy13-67   1       +++1.22       6.44
4/28HWilliam Allen13-76   3       +-1.22       3.18
4/29HEmmaus1-14-13   -15       +-1.22       2.01
5/02HMoravian Academy7-52   3       -1.22       -1.00
5/04HSaucon Valley7-43   -1       ++-1.22       4.01
5/05ASouthern Lehigh6-14-8   -8       1.22       0.13
5/06AEaston5-15-10   -9       1.22       -0.71
         0.00-2.29

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/06HParkland5-205.00
4/08AEmmaus0-15-2.46
4/15HEaston3-130.00
4/20AParkland5-161.00
4/29HEmmaus1-14-2.02
5/06AEaston5-150.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 81.   Natl CCR Rank 1754
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.45   Natl Power Rank 1754
Natl SOS Rating 85.32   Natl SOS Rank 1180
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.22   Natl Quality Win Rank 1929
W-L Pct Rating 0.28   W-L Pct Rank 2271
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.0



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