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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Northeast Catholic Falcons (3-7)

Region: PA Cath-No

State: PA

Coach: Luke Hogan

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	at Truman (1-15)	PA SubNat	79.2		W	6-	5		0.225
3/31	at Neshaminy (10-9)	PA SubNat	86.8		L	4-	14		0.000
4/02	KENNEDY-KENRICK (0-8)	PA Cath-So	75.8		W	17-	5		0.025
4/08	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (12-8)	PA ChesMon	90.6		L	3-	14		0.000
4/17	CONWELL EGAN (1-11)	PA Cath-No	78.5		W	14-	12		0.150
4/22	LANSDALE CATHOLIC (13-5)	PA Cath-No	89.1		L	6-	20		0.000
4/27	at Archbishop Wood (11-6)	PA Cath-No	91.4		L	3-	20		0.000
4/29	at LaSalle College HS (21-4)	PA Cath-No	99.8	1	L	1-	17		0.000
5/05	at Father Judge (5-10)	PA Cath-No	82.0		L	6-	10		-0.175
5/06	ARCHBISHOP RYAN (7-10)	PA Cath-No	84.9		L	6-	12		-0.125
			85.8						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Truman	6-	5	1	1		1.22	0.48
3/31	A	Neshaminy	4-	14	-10	-10		1.22	-0.27
4/02	H	Kennedy-Kenrick	17-	5	12	9	+	-1.22	3.01
4/08	H	Downingtown West	3-	14	-11	-12		-1.22	0.87
4/17	H	Conwell Egan	14-	12	2	4	–	-1.22	-2.11
4/22	H	Lansdale Catholic	6-	20	-14	-10	––	-1.22	-4.32
4/27	A	Archbishop Wood	3-	20	-17	-16		1.22	-1.41
4/29	A	LaSalle College HS	1-	17	-16	-22	++	1.22	5.98
5/05	A	Father Judge	6-	10	-4	-3		1.22	-1.01
5/06	H	Archbishop Ryan	6-	12	-6	-5		-1.22	-1.22
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Neshaminy	4-	14	0.00
4/02	H	Kennedy-Kenrick	17-	5	-2.00
4/08	H	Downingtown West	3-	14	-0.87
4/22	H	Lansdale Catholic	6-	20	4.00
4/27	A	Archbishop Wood	3-	20	1.41
4/29	A	LaSalle College HS	1-	17	-5.98
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1820
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.99		Natl Power Rank	1820
Natl SOS Rating	85.75		Natl SOS Rank	1110
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1249
W-L Pct Rating	0.30		W-L Pct Rank	2205
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7

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