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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Northern Durham Knights (1-12)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Ray St Peter

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	ATHENS DRIVE (9-10)	NC 4A	75.3		L	2-	9		-0.125
3/10	at Chapel Hill (18-2)	NC 4A	94.0	2	L	1-	18		0.000
3/20	CHAPEL HILL (18-2)	NC 4A	94.0	2	L	0-	19		0.000
3/24	at Green Hope (9-5)	NC 4A	79.5		L	6-	20		0.000
3/26	at Durham Jordan (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	4-	17		0.000
3/31	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-10)	NC 4A	78.7		L	3-	9		-0.025
4/02	at East Chapel Hill (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	L	0-	17		0.000
4/09	EASTERN GUILFORD (3-14)	NC 3A/2A	64.0		W	19-	4		0.075
4/20	WAKEFIELD (19-1)	NC 4A	91.7	3	L	1-	15		0.000
4/22	PANTHER CREEK (4-13)	NC 4A	73.6		L	2-	12		-0.125
4/24	DURHAM JORDAN (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	3-	15		0.000
4/28	at Durham Riverside (5-10)	NC 4A	78.7		L	2-	15		0.000
4/30	EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	L	2-	19		0.000
			82.3						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Athens Drive	2-	9	-7	-5		-0.95	-1.90
3/10	A	Chapel Hill	1-	18	-17	-21	++	0.95	4.19
3/20	H	Chapel Hill	0-	19	-19	-19		-0.95	0.29
3/24	A	Green Hope	6-	20	-14	-10	––	0.95	-4.48
3/26	A	Durham Jordan	4-	17	-13	-14		0.95	1.05
3/31	H	Durham Riverside	3-	9	-6	-9	+	-0.95	2.57
4/02	A	East Chapel Hill	0-	17	-17	-16		0.95	-1.11
4/09	H	Eastern Guilford	19-	4	15	7	+++	-0.95	7.51
4/20	H	Wakefield	1-	15	-14	-17	+	-0.95	2.61
4/22	H	Panther Creek	2-	12	-10	-5	––	-0.95	-5.34
4/24	H	Durham Jordan	3-	15	-12	-12		-0.95	0.15
4/28	A	Durham Riverside	2-	15	-13	-10	–	0.95	-2.53
4/30	H	East Chapel Hill	2-	19	-17	-14	–	-0.95	-3.00
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	A	Chapel Hill	1-	18	-4.19
3/20	H	Chapel Hill	0-	19	-0.29
3/24	A	Green Hope	6-	20	4.00
3/26	A	Durham Jordan	4-	17	-1.05
4/02	A	East Chapel Hill	0-	17	1.11
4/09	H	Eastern Guilford	19-	4	-5.00
4/20	H	Wakefield	1-	15	-2.61
4/22	H	Panther Creek	2-	12	0.00
4/24	H	Durham Jordan	3-	15	-0.15
4/28	A	Durham Riverside	2-	15	3.00
4/30	H	East Chapel Hill	2-	19	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	2814
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.14		Natl Power Rank	2814
Natl SOS Rating	82.17		Natl SOS Rank	1738
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1900
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	2796
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-11.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-14.0

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