High School Computer Ratings

New Fairfield Rebels (20-2)

Conference: SWCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Marty Morgan

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/09	at Pomperaug (6-11)	CT M	87.7		W	13-	3		0.000
4/11	at Brookfield (8-10)	CT M	90.5		W	20-	11		0.050
4/13	at Stratford (4-12)	CT S	81.3		W	14-	2		0.000
4/15	at Bethel (4-12)	CT M	83.3		W	16-	3		0.000
4/18	RYE HS (12-7)	NY C Sec 1	92.0		W	13-	7		0.075
4/23	MASUK-MONROE (8-10)	CT M	87.5		W	17-	1		0.000
4/25	at Branford (7-11)	CT M	91.4		W	16-	3		0.075
4/28	AMITY REGIONAL (14-6)	CT L	97.3		W	12-	11		0.175
4/30	BARLOW-REDDING (13-5)	CT S	96.7		W	16-	6		0.175
5/02	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (6-10)	CT S	89.8		W	9-	5		0.000
5/06	NOTRE DAME-FAIRFIELD (3-13)	CT S	82.3		W	17-	1		0.000
5/08	at Immaculate Danbury (10-7)	CT S	92.6		W	18-	5		0.050
5/13	at Newtown (17-4)	CT L	97.5	10	W	11-	10		0.250
5/16	WESTON (13-9)	CT S	95.7		W	17-	11		0.150
5/18	BUNNELL-STRATFORD (1-15)	CT M	78.6		W	13-	1		0.000
5/20	NEW MILFORD (14-6)	CT L	97.1		W	14-	13	ot	0.175
5/27	POMPERAUG (6-11)	CT M	87.7		W	17-	2		0.000
5/29	vs. Weston # (13-9)	CT S	95.7		W	15-	13		0.175
6/02	vs. Newtown # (17-4)	CT L	97.5	10	L	8-	9		-0.275
6/06	MASUK-MONROE (8-10)	CT M	87.5		W	19-	4		0.000
6/09	NEW CANAAN (12-8)	CT M	97.2		W	10-	2		0.225
6/11	vs. Wilton # (16-6)	CT M	98.2	5	L	8-	11		-0.150
# Neutral site			91.1						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	A	Pomperaug	13-	3	10	12		1.16	-1.73
4/11	A	Brookfield	20-	11	9	8		1.16	0.96
4/13	A	Stratford	14-	2	12	17	––	1.16	-5.01
4/15	A	Bethel	16-	3	13	15		1.16	-1.61
4/18	H	Rye HS	13-	7	6	7		-1.24		-1.44
4/23	H	Masuk-Monroe	17-	1	16	15		-1.16	1.11
4/25	A	Branford	16-	3	13	7	++	1.16	5.56
4/28	H	Amity Regional	12-	11	1	3		-1.16	-1.68
4/30	H	Barlow-Redding	16-	6	10	3	+++	-1.16	6.61
5/02	H	Northwest Catholic	9-	5	4	11	–––	-1.16	-6.65
5/06	H	Notre Dame-Fairfield	17-	1	16	18		-1.16	-1.61
5/08	A	Immaculate Danbury	18-	5	13	8	++	1.16	4.75
5/13	A	Newtown	11-	10	1	0		1.16	1.42
5/16	H	Weston	17-	11	6	4	+	-1.16	2.08
5/18	H	Bunnell-Stratford	13-	1	12	20	–––	-1.16	-8.40
5/20	H	New Milford	14-	13	1	3		-1.16	-1.83
5/27	H	Pomperaug	17-	2	15	14		-1.16	0.96
5/29	N	Weston	15-	13	2	3		0.00	-0.77
6/02	N	Newtown	8-	9	-1	1		0.00	-1.74
6/06	H	Masuk-Monroe	19-	4	15	15		-1.16	0.11
6/09	H	New Canaan	10-	2	8	1	+++	-1.16	6.93
6/11	N	Wilton	8-	11	-3	-4		0.00	0.52
									0.00	-1.44