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Nipmuc Regional Warriors (10-8)

Conference: CentMassRegion: MA 2State: MACoach: Sean Reilly

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/14at Grafton (16-5)MA 291.34L1- 8 -0.075  
4/16TANTASQUA REGIONAL (5-15)MA 281.8W9- 4 0.075  
4/18ASHLAND (0-19)MA 374.0W11- 1 0.000  
4/24at Natick (10-10)MA 292.9L3- 9 -0.075  
4/27WORCESTER COMBINED (0-12)MA 273.4W10- 0 0.000  
4/28NORTHBRIDGE (16-5)MA 290.66L4-12 -0.175  
4/30at Ashland (0-19)MA 374.0W8- 4 0.000  
5/01GRAFTON (16-5)MA 291.34L4-10 -0.150  
5/07at Worcester Combined (0-12)MA 273.4W14- 0 0.000  
5/09SHREWSBURY (12-8)MA 290.75L8- 9ot-0.125  
5/11MARLBOROUGH (11-8)MA 289.4W6- 3 0.275  
5/12SHEPHERD HILL (2-14)MA 278.4W7- 2 0.050  
5/14at Northbridge (16-5)MA 290.66L5-14 -0.100  
5/18at Tantasqua Regional (5-15)MA 281.8W5- 3 0.150  
5/19HOLY NAME CATH CENT (2-9)MA 281.6W12- 3 0.100  
5/20at Hopkinton (10-9)MA 294.0L4-12 -0.050  
5/21at Shepherd Hill (2-14)MA 278.4W9- 4 0.125  
5/27at Algonquin (19-3)MA 296.12L2-12 0.000  
 84.7     0.03  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/14AGrafton1-8-7   -7       1.46       0.20
4/16HTantasqua Regional9-45   7       -1.46       -1.57
4/18HAshland11-110   14       ––-1.19       -4.13
4/24ANatick3-9-6   -7       1.19       1.13
4/27HWorcester Combined10-010   13       –-1.46       -2.85
4/28HNorthbridge4-12-8   -3       ––-1.46       -4.56
4/30AAshland8-44   12       –––1.19       -7.76
5/01HGrafton4-10-6   -4       -1.46       -1.73
5/07AWorcester Combined14-014   10       ++1.46       4.08
5/09HShrewsbury8-9-1   -5       +-1.46       3.61
5/11HMarlborough6-33   -1       +-1.46       3.92
5/12HShepherd Hill7-25   8       –-1.46       -2.68
5/14ANorthbridge5-14-9   -6       –1.46       -2.63
5/18ATantasqua Regional5-32   4       1.46       -1.64
5/19HHoly Name Cath Cent12-39   6       +-1.46       3.37
5/20AHopkinton4-12-8   -8       1.19       0.18
5/21AShepherd Hill9-45   5       1.46       0.25
5/27AAlgonquin2-12-10   -12       +1.46       2.25
         0.00-10.58

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/18HAshland11-14.13
4/27HWorcester Combined10-02.85
5/07AWorcester Combined14-0-4.08
5/27AAlgonquin2-12-2.25
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1114
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.97   Natl Power Rank 1114
Natl SOS Rating 84.49   Natl SOS Rank 1329
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.03   Natl Quality Win Rank 1367
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1223
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.3



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