| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: George Searing |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/07 | BRENTWOOD (2-15) | NY A Sec 11 | 84.3 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | at Mahopac (10-8) | NY A Sec 1 | 91.7 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.250 |
4/11 | at Farmingdale (13-5) | NY A Sec 8 | 95.9 | | L | 1- | 4 | | -0.150 |
4/15 | SACHEM EAST (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.5 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.175 |
4/17 | at Commack (3-14) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.0 | | W | 14- | 9 | | 0.075 |
4/18 | MANHASSET (20-1) | NY C Sec 8 | 99.8 | | L | 3- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/21 | at William Floyd (13-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.0 | 9 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.175 |
4/23 | RIVERHEAD (9-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.1 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.150 |
4/25 | LINDENHURST (7-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 92.2 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/29 | at Patchogue-Medford (6-9) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.4 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.175 |
5/01 | at Bay Shore (11-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 95.5 | | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/06 | CONNETQUOT (11-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 95.5 | | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.200 |
5/07 | SMITHTOWN EAST (12-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.2 | 7 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.175 |
5/09 | at Walt Whitman (16-3) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.4 | 6 | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.200 |
5/13 | at Ward Melville (16-4) | NY A Sec 11 | 98.3 | 2 | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.075 |
5/15 | at Copiague (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.2 | | W | 17- | 8 | | 0.125 |
5/18 | WEST ISLIP (22-1) | NY A Sec 11 | 99.8 | 1 | L | 3- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/21 | at William Floyd (13-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.0 | 9 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.175 |
| | 93.6 | | | | | | -0.27 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/07 | H | Brentwood | 13- | 3 | 10 | 12 | – | -0.34 | -2.20 | |
4/09 | A | Mahopac | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.83 | | 0.62 |
4/11 | A | Farmingdale | 1- | 4 | -3 | -4 | | 0.81 | | 0.75 |
4/15 | H | Sachem East | 7- | 4 | 3 | 3 | | -0.34 | 0.14 | |
4/17 | A | Commack | 14- | 9 | 5 | 7 | – | 0.34 | -2.19 | |
4/18 | H | Manhasset | 3- | 13 | -10 | -6 | –– | -0.81 | | -4.00 |
4/21 | A | William Floyd | 9- | 13 | -4 | -3 | | 0.34 | -0.72 | |
4/23 | H | Riverhead | 12- | 3 | 9 | 4 | ++ | -0.34 | 4.60 | |
4/25 | H | Lindenhurst | 10- | 6 | 4 | 1 | + | -0.34 | 2.76 | |
4/29 | A | Patchogue-Medford | 10- | 3 | 7 | 3 | + | 0.34 | 3.63 | |
5/01 | A | Bay Shore | 5- | 11 | -6 | -2 | –– | 0.34 | -4.21 | |
5/06 | H | Connetquot | 10- | 12 | -2 | -2 | | -0.34 | -0.21 | |
5/07 | H | Smithtown East | 5- | 10 | -5 | -3 | – | -0.34 | -2.13 | |
5/09 | A | Walt Whitman | 6- | 10 | -4 | -2 | | 0.34 | -1.56 | |
5/13 | A | Ward Melville | 4- | 11 | -7 | -7 | | 0.34 | 0.20 | |
5/15 | A | Copiague | 17- | 8 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 0.34 | 4.27 | |
5/18 | H | West Islip | 3- | 12 | -9 | -10 | | -0.34 | 1.35 | |
5/21 | A | William Floyd | 5- | 12 | -7 | -3 | – | 0.34 | -3.72 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.63 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | H | Brentwood | 13- | 3 | 2.20 |
4/18 | H | Manhasset | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 435 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.95 | | Natl Power Rank | 435 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 93.52 | | Natl SOS Rank | 85 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.27 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2049 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1712 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
|
