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Novato Hornets (12-8)

Conference: D1Region: CA MarinState: CACoach: Michael Pardi

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/27at Davis (5-13)CA BayShor85.1W9- 4 0.125  
3/03CARDINAL NEWMAN (12-7)CA BayArea91.7W9- 6 0.200  
3/06at San Ramon Valley (11-10)CA EastBay93.88L8-15 -0.125  
3/10at Amador Valley (17-4)CA EastBay96.33L3- 7 -0.075  
3/13BISHOP O'DOWD (4-13)CA BayShor85.7W8- 2 0.100  
3/18at Berkeley (18-2)CA BayShor95.26L5- 8 -0.175  
3/20at Piedmont (11-8)CA BayShor91.3W11- 8 0.275  
3/25UNIVERSITY SF (16-6)CA BayArea93.3L2- 32ot-0.275  
3/27REDWOOD (15-7)CA Marin93.410L4-13 -0.300  
4/01at Tamalpais (12-8)CA Marin89.7W8- 7 0.200  
4/03SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (21-1)CA Indep98.91L5-16 -0.025  
4/07at San Marin (2-9)CA Marin82.0W16- 1 0.050  
4/09at San Rafael (3-11)CA Marin81.4W16- 4 0.075  
4/22BRANSON (3-11)CA Marin81.5W11- 3 0.000  
4/24at Marin Catholic (11-6)CA Marin91.8W8- 7 0.250  
4/28TERRA LINDA (0-10)CA Marin70.5W22- 0 0.000  
4/29at Miramonte (13-8)CA DFAL93.1L6- 9 -0.175  
5/01SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (6-8)CA Marin84.4W13- 5 0.025  
5/05MARIN CATHOLIC (11-6)CA Marin91.8W7- 3 0.175  
5/08at Redwood (15-7)CA Marin93.410L9-12 -0.250  
 89.2     0.07  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27ADavis9-45   5       1.26       0.04
3/03HCardinal Newman9-63   2       -1.26       0.79
3/06ASan Ramon Valley8-15-7   -5       1.26       -1.88
3/10AAmador Valley3-7-4   -7       +1.26       3.00
3/13HBishop O'Dowd8-26   6       -1.26       0.04
3/18ABerkeley5-8-3   -3       1.26       0.40
3/20APiedmont11-83   -1       ++1.26       4.11
3/25HUniversity SF2-3-1   1       -1.26       -1.64
3/27HRedwood4-13-9   2       –––-1.26       -11.27
4/01ATamalpais8-71   2       1.26       -1.20
4/03HSaint Ignatius Prep5-16-11   -9       -1.26       -1.83
4/07ASan Marin16-115   8       +++1.26       7.36
4/09ASan Rafael16-412   7       ++1.26       4.79
4/22HBranson11-38   11       –-1.26       -2.67
4/24AMarin Catholic8-71   0       1.26       0.87
4/28HTerra Linda22-022   21       -1.26       1.18
4/29AMiramonte6-9-3   -3       1.26       0.37
5/01HSir Francis Drake13-58   9       -1.26       -1.05
5/05HMarin Catholic7-34   3       -1.26       1.35
5/08ARedwood9-12-3   0       –1.26       -2.76
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03HSaint Ignatius Prep5-161.00
4/07ASan Marin16-1-5.00
4/09ASan Rafael16-4-2.00
4/28HTerra Linda22-0-1.18
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 517
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 92.04   Natl Power Rank 517
Natl SOS Rating 89.16   Natl SOS Rank 602
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.07   Natl Quality Win Rank 1298
W-L Pct Rating 0.60   W-L Pct Rank 1004
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.0



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