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North Tonawanda Lumberjacks (1-11)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Derrick Rose

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03WEST SENECA WEST (10-6)NY B Sec 682.5L1-11 0.000  
4/21at Frontier (14-7)NY A Sec 689.84L4-20 0.000  
4/23at Clarence (13-6)NY A Sec 687.59L0-18 0.000  
4/28JAMESTOWN (0-13)NY A Sec 667.4W12- 8 0.175  
5/01at Lancaster (4-9)NY A Sec 677.1L1-11 0.000  
5/05ORCHARD PARK (21-2)NY A Sec 699.41L1-21 0.000  
5/08at Niagara Wheatfield (12-7)NY A Sec 687.68L3-19 0.000  
5/09LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (6-10)NY B Sec 674.7L12-13ot-0.150  
5/13LOCKPORT (4-14)NY A Sec 673.0L4-12 -0.200  
5/15at Williamsville North (5-10)NY A Sec 679.3L4-18 0.000  
5/16at St Francis (6-11)NY P Sec 680.8L2-16 0.000  
5/19at Williamsville East (11-8)NY B Sec 683.310L2-20 0.000  
 81.9     -0.18  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03HWest Seneca West1-11-10   -10       -1.35       0.01
4/21AFrontier4-20-16   -18       1.35       1.68
4/23AClarence0-18-18   -16       1.35       -1.64
4/28HJamestown12-84   3       -1.35       0.94
5/01ALancaster1-11-10   -10       1.35       0.48
5/05HOrchard Park1-21-20   -25       ++-1.35       4.65
5/08ANiagara Wheatfield3-19-16   -18       1.35       1.67
5/09HLake Shore Central12-13-1   -4       +-1.35       3.19
5/13HLockport4-12-8   -2       ––-1.35       -5.50
5/15AWilliamsville North4-18-14   -13       1.35       -0.53
5/16ASt Francis2-16-14   -12       1.35       -1.79
5/19AWilliamsville East2-20-18   -15       –1.35       -3.18
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03HWest Seneca West1-110.00
4/21AFrontier4-20-1.68
4/23AClarence0-181.64
5/01ALancaster1-110.00
5/05HOrchard Park1-21-4.65
5/08ANiagara Wheatfield3-19-1.67
5/15AWilliamsville North4-180.53
5/16ASt Francis2-161.79
5/19AWilliamsville East2-203.18
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 69.   Natl CCR Rank 2764
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 69.31   Natl Power Rank 2764
Natl SOS Rating 81.26   Natl SOS Rank 1856
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.18   Natl Quality Win Rank 1862
W-L Pct Rating 0.08   W-L Pct Rank 2775
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 1-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -11.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -17.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -15.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -15.3



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