| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Dave Guill |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/12 | RICHMOND LC (10-4) | VA Indep | 87.9 | | W | 9- | 1 | | 0.150 |
3/18 | at Herndon (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.225 |
3/20 | FAIRFAX (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.6 | | W | 8- | 2 | | 0.050 |
3/24 | at Westfield (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
3/28 | at Georgetown Prep (20-3) | DC IAC | 99.6 | | L | 1- | 20 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | CENTREVILLE (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/04 | at Potomac School (12-6) | DC MAC | 93.5 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.150 |
4/16 | ROBINSON (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.200 |
4/21 | at Chantilly (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 2- | 8 | | -0.175 |
4/29 | at Langley (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 0- | 2 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | at Herndon (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.225 |
5/05 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.200 |
5/12 | at Langley (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 3- | 6 | | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 92.7 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Richmond LC | 9- | 1 | 8 | 4 | + | -1.44 | | 3.56 |
3/18 | A | Herndon | 14- | 6 | 8 | 1 | +++ | 1.30 | 6.92 | |
3/20 | H | Fairfax | 8- | 2 | 6 | 8 | | -1.30 | -1.66 | |
3/24 | A | Westfield | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | – | 1.30 | -2.18 | |
3/28 | A | Georgetown Prep | 1- | 20 | -19 | -10 | ––– | 1.36 | | -8.90 |
4/02 | H | Centreville | 10- | 8 | 2 | 6 | –– | -1.30 | -4.41 | |
4/04 | A | Potomac School | 7- | 8 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.55 | | 3.20 |
4/16 | H | Robinson | 8- | 15 | -7 | -2 | –– | -1.30 | -5.04 | |
4/21 | A | Chantilly | 2- | 8 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.30 | -2.74 | |
4/29 | A | Langley | 0- | 2 | -2 | -5 | + | 1.30 | 3.12 | |
5/01 | A | Herndon | 10- | 3 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 1.30 | 5.92 | |
5/05 | N | Chantilly | 3- | 7 | -4 | -2 | – | 0.00 | -2.04 | |
5/12 | A | Langley | 3- | 6 | -3 | -5 | + | 1.30 | 2.12 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.14 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | A | Georgetown Prep | 1- | 20 | 9.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.69 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 636 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.86 | | Natl Power Rank | 636 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 92.70 | | Natl SOS Rank | 167 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2432 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.38 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1933 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
|
