| Region: MN 1 North | State: MN | Coach: Darren Nelson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/15 | BLAINE (8-5) | MN 1 North | 86.0 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.350 |
4/17 | at Totino Grace (3-10) | MN 1 Private | 85.5 | | W | 5- | 4 | ot | 0.300 |
4/18 | ACADEMY HOLY ANGELS (4-10) | MN 1 Private | 86.3 | | W | 8- | 7 | ot | 0.250 |
4/20 | at Champlin Park (6-6) | MN 1 North | 84.6 | | W | 8- | 7 | ot | 0.250 |
4/22 | COON RAPIDS (2-10) | MN 1 North | 76.9 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Elk River (4-7) | MN 1 North | 81.4 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/29 | ANOKA (1-10) | MN 1 North | 73.9 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | at Minnetonka (18-0) | MN 1 Classic | 95.0 | 1 | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | at Edina (11-4) | MN 1 Classic | 91.5 | 7 | L | 3- | 13 | | -0.050 |
5/06 | at Andover (5-7) | MN 1 North | 81.7 | | W | 10- | 0 | | 0.125 |
5/11 | CENTENNIAL (16-1) | MN 1 East | 92.1 | 5 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/13 | at Maple Grove (11-5) | MN 1 North | 87.8 | | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.300 |
5/15 | at Armstrong (4-10) | MN 1 Classic | 83.9 | | W | 12- | 11 | | 0.200 |
5/21 | MAPLE GROVE (11-5) | MN 1 North | 87.8 | | L | 8- | 9 | 2ot | -0.275 |
| | 85.3 | | | | | | 0.75 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/15 | H | Blaine | 5- | 7 | -2 | 4 | –– | -1.20 | -5.70 | |
4/17 | A | Totino Grace | 5- | 4 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.20 | 2.55 | |
4/18 | H | Academy Holy Angels | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | -1.20 | 1.34 | |
4/20 | A | Champlin Park | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.20 | 0.56 | |
4/22 | H | Coon Rapids | 17- | 1 | 16 | 12 | ++ | -1.20 | 4.25 | |
4/27 | A | Elk River | 9- | 4 | 5 | 4 | | 1.20 | 1.15 | |
4/29 | H | Anoka | 9- | 4 | 5 | 13 | ––– | -1.20 | -8.02 | |
4/30 | A | Minnetonka | 2- | 16 | -14 | -11 | – | 1.20 | -2.62 | |
5/04 | A | Edina | 3- | 13 | -10 | -8 | | 1.20 | -1.92 | |
5/06 | A | Andover | 10- | 0 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 1.20 | 5.34 | |
5/11 | H | Centennial | 9- | 10 | -1 | -4 | + | -1.20 | 2.73 | |
5/13 | A | Maple Grove | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.20 | 2.70 | |
5/15 | A | Armstrong | 12- | 11 | 1 | 2 | | 1.20 | -0.67 | |
5/21 | H | Maple Grove | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | | -1.20 | -1.70 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/22 | H | Coon Rapids | 17- | 1 | -4.25 |
4/30 | A | Minnetonka | 2- | 16 | 2.62 |
5/04 | A | Edina | 3- | 13 | 0.00 |
5/06 | A | Andover | 10- | 0 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1003 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.67 | | Natl Power Rank | 1003 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.40 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1165 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.75 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 415 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.64 | | W-L Pct Rank | 844 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
|
