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Otay Ranch Mustangs (10-9)

Conference: D1Region: CA MetroState: CACoach: Bill Maeda

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/09SCRIPPS RANCH (9-7)CA City90.5L2-11 -0.150  
3/12at Francis Parker (12-5)CA Coastal92.010L4-10 -0.100  
3/14RANCHO BERNARDO (16-4)CA North95.73L6-15 0.000  
3/17at Granite Hills (12-9)CA Grosmnt90.0L5-11 -0.150  
3/20LA JOLLA HS (15-5)CA City93.27L3-12 -0.100  
3/23at Eastlake (13-5)CA Metro88.5W10- 8 0.225  
3/26at Chula Vista (2-18)CA Metro73.3W18- 0 0.000  
3/30BONITA VISTA (8-10)CA Metro84.9W4- 3 0.125  
3/31WHEAT RIDGE (8-9)CO Foothil90.3L5-10 -0.200  
4/02at Hilltop (7-12)CA Metro82.5W12- 3 0.100  
4/09at Montgomery (5-12)CA Metro79.6W19- 3 0.000  
4/16MONTGOMERY (5-12)CA Metro79.6W17- 3 0.000  
4/22at Eastlake (13-5)CA Metro88.5L8- 9ot-0.275  
4/27CHULA VISTA (2-18)CA Metro73.3W19- 2 0.000  
4/30at Bonita Vista (8-10)CA Metro84.9W6- 3 0.175  
5/04HILLTOP (7-12)CA Metro82.5W16- 2 0.050  
5/07FOOTHILLS CHRISTIAN (12-6)CA Indep90.3L7-19 -0.250  
5/15at Westview (7-11)CA North90.0L9-14 -0.150  
5/18EL CAPITAN (4-16)CA Grosmnt81.9W15- 2 0.050  
 85.9     -0.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09HScripps Ranch2-11-9   -4       ––-0.99       -5.47
3/12AFrancis Parker4-10-6   -6       0.99       0.28
3/14HRancho Bernardo6-15-9   -12       +-0.99       2.63
3/17AGranite Hills5-11-6   -4       0.99       -1.73
3/20HLa Jolla HS3-12-9   -6       –-0.99       -2.59
3/23AEastlake10-82   1       0.99       1.20
3/26AChula Vista18-018   15       +0.99       3.15
3/30HBonita Vista4-31   5       –-0.99       -3.76
3/31HWheat Ridge5-10-5   -2       –-0.74       -3.38
4/02AHilltop12-39   6       +0.99       2.64
4/09AMontgomery19-316   10       ++0.99       5.60
4/16HMontgomery17-314   12       -0.99       1.61
4/22AEastlake8-9-1   1       0.99       -1.80
4/27HChula Vista19-217   17       -0.99       0.16
4/30ABonita Vista6-33   3       0.99       0.22
5/04HHilltop16-214   8       ++-0.99       5.66
5/07HFoothills Christian7-19-12   0       –––-0.99       -11.93
5/15AWestview9-14-5   -4       0.99       -1.18
5/18HEl Capitan15-213   8       ++-0.99       5.29
         0.00-3.38

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26AChula Vista18-0-3.15
4/09AMontgomery19-3-5.60
4/16HMontgomery17-3-1.61
4/27HChula Vista19-2-0.16
5/04HHilltop16-2-4.00
5/07HFoothills Christian7-192.00
5/18HEl Capitan15-2-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.82

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 980
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.97   Natl Power Rank 980
Natl SOS Rating 85.74   Natl SOS Rank 1112
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.65   Natl Quality Win Rank 2670
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 1369
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.3



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