| Conference: D2 | Region: CA NCLA-S | State: CA | Coach: Kyle Hatzell |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/01 | at Monterey (7-6) | CA NCLA-S | 79.8 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.100 |
3/07 | CASA GRANDE (18-4) | CA NCLA-N | 91.2 | 2 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.175 |
3/08 | at Morgan Hill (5-8) | CA NCLA-S | 75.4 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | vs. Cordova-Folsom # (12-4) | CA NCLA-E | 87.9 | 7 | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.250 |
3/14 | GOLD COUNTRY (10-9) | CA NCLA-E | 82.1 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.100 |
3/15 | CHICO (8-3) | CA NCLA-E | 87.5 | 8 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.325 |
3/20 | SAN FRANCISCO CITY (5-8) | CA NCLA-S | 77.0 | | W | 6- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/29 | at Skyline (4-6) | CA NCLA-S | 69.2 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | SANTA ROSA (8-7) | CA NCLA-N | 82.4 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.150 |
4/05 | MORGAN HILL (5-8) | CA NCLA-S | 75.4 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | CENTENNIAL (10-7) | NV SNLL | 88.6 | | L | 8- | 13 | | -0.250 |
4/19 | at San Francisco City (5-8) | CA NCLA-S | 77.0 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/25 | MONTEREY (7-6) | CA NCLA-S | 79.8 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.075 |
4/26 | at Stockton (0-12) | CA NCLA-S | 62.9 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/03 | CHICO (8-3) | CA NCLA-E | 87.5 | 8 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.325 |
5/09 | CHICO (8-3) | CA NCLA-E | 87.5 | 8 | W | 11- | 0 | | 0.175 |
5/16 | vs. Casa Grande # (18-4) | CA NCLA-N | 91.2 | 2 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.3 | | | | | | -0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/01 | A | Monterey | 11- | 3 | 8 | 6 | + | 0.60 | 2.05 | |
3/07 | H | Casa Grande | 6- | 7 | -1 | -3 | + | -0.60 | 2.40 | |
3/08 | A | Morgan Hill | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | + | 0.60 | 2.28 | |
3/14 | N | Cordova-Folsom | 10- | 5 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.53 | |
3/14 | H | Gold Country | 8- | 4 | 4 | 6 | – | -0.60 | -2.39 | |
3/15 | H | Chico | 8- | 9 | -1 | 3 | –– | -0.60 | -4.38 | |
3/20 | H | San Francisco City | 6- | 0 | 6 | 10 | –– | -0.60 | -4.07 | |
3/29 | A | Skyline | 19- | 1 | 18 | 16 | + | 0.60 | 2.06 | |
4/04 | H | Santa Rosa | 10- | 7 | 3 | 4 | | -0.60 | -1.08 | |
4/05 | H | Morgan Hill | 14- | 2 | 12 | 12 | | -0.60 | 0.08 | |
4/10 | H | Centennial | 8- | 13 | -5 | 0 | –– | -0.72 | | -5.15 |
4/19 | A | San Francisco City | 18- | 7 | 11 | 9 | + | 0.60 | 2.14 | |
4/25 | H | Monterey | 8- | 5 | 3 | 7 | –– | -0.60 | -4.15 | |
4/26 | A | Stockton | 19- | 1 | 18 | 18 | | 0.60 | 0.29 | |
5/03 | H | Chico | 8- | 9 | -1 | 3 | –– | -0.60 | -4.38 | |
5/09 | H | Chico | 11- | 0 | 11 | 3 | +++ | -0.60 | 7.62 | |
5/16 | N | Casa Grande | 5- | 12 | -7 | -4 | – | 0.00 | -3.00 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -5.15 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/08 | A | Morgan Hill | 16- | 3 | -2.28 |
3/29 | A | Skyline | 19- | 1 | -2.06 |
4/05 | H | Morgan Hill | 14- | 2 | -0.08 |
4/19 | A | San Francisco City | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
4/26 | A | Stockton | 19- | 1 | -0.29 |
5/09 | H | Chico | 11- | 0 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.39 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 992 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.06 | | Natl Power Rank | 992 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.03 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1896 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2191 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 579 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
| 
