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Penn Yan Mustangs (20-3)

Region: NY C Sec 5State: NYCoach: Brian Hobart

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/04WEBSTER SCHROEDER (11-8)NY A Sec 592.48W9- 3 0.125  
4/09at Canandaigua (22-2)NY B Sec 599.71L5-15 -0.175  
4/14at Carthage (17-4)NY B Sec 394.7W12- 4 0.225  
4/15at Waterloo (6-13)NY C Sec 581.0W21- 1 0.000  
4/18FAIRPORT (16-3)NY A Sec 598.23W6- 5 0.300  
4/21MYNDERSE ACADEMY (4-13)NY C Sec 579.2W18- 0 0.000  
4/23GENEVA (12-9)NY C Sec 590.2W12- 2 0.075  
4/25at Midlakes (12-8)NY C Sec 586.1W17- 0 0.000  
4/30NEWARK (4-15)NY B Sec 579.7W20- 1 0.000  
5/02at Bloomfield-Honeoye (4-12)NY C Sec 580.3W20- 5 0.000  
5/05WATERLOO (6-13)NY C Sec 581.0W15- 1 0.000  
5/07at Palmyra-Macedon (13-7)NY C Sec 585.5W17- 1 0.000  
5/09at Hamburg (18-3)NY B Sec 692.5W11-10ot0.175  
5/12CANANDAIGUA (22-2)NY B Sec 599.71L11-12ot-0.250  
5/14MARCUS WHITMAN (0-19)NY C Sec 574.1W20- 1 0.000  
5/16at Geneva (12-9)NY C Sec 590.2W12- 6 0.150  
5/21at Newark (4-15)NY B Sec 579.7W20- 0 0.000  
5/23AMHERST (14-6)NY B Sec 688.1W9- 1 0.000  
5/29BATAVIA (7-11)NY C Sec 581.2W20- 1 0.000  
6/02vs. Geneva # (12-9)NY C Sec 590.2W9- 7 0.125  
6/05vs. Livonia # (14-7)NY C Sec 589.9W10- 7 0.075  
6/09vs. Silver Creek # (10-10)NY C Sec 674.7W17- 6 0.000  
6/11vs. Lafayette # (23-1)NY C Sec 399.5L6-10 -0.175  
# Neutral site 87.3     0.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/04HWebster Schroeder9-36   5       -1.33       1.13
4/09ACanandaigua5-15-10   -3       –––1.33       -7.44
4/14ACarthage12-48   1       +++1.26       7.33
4/15AWaterloo21-120   15       ++1.33       5.01
4/18HFairport6-51   -2       +-1.33       2.64
4/21HMynderse Academy18-018   19       -1.33       -1.41
4/23HGeneva12-210   7       +-1.33       3.40
4/25AMidlakes17-017   11       ++1.33       5.82
4/30HNewark20-119   20       -1.33       -0.51
5/02ABloomfield-Honeoye20-515   15       1.33       -0.46
5/05HWaterloo15-114   18       –-1.33       -3.64
5/07APalmyra-Macedon17-116   12       +1.33       3.72
5/09AHamburg11-101   3       1.34       -1.82
5/12HCanandaigua11-12-1   0       -1.33       -1.09
5/14HMarcus Whitman20-119   24       ––-1.33       -5.21
5/16AGeneva12-66   4       +1.33       2.05
5/21ANewark20-020   17       +1.33       3.14
5/23HAmherst9-18   10       -1.34       -1.85
5/29HBatavia20-119   18       -1.33       0.56
6/02NGeneva9-72   5       –0.00       -3.28
6/05NLivonia10-73   7       ––0.00       -4.45
6/09NSilver Creek17-611   22       –––0.00       -10.98
6/11NLafayette6-10-4   -3       0.00       -1.16
         0.00-8.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09ACanandaigua5-150.00
4/15AWaterloo21-1-5.01
4/21HMynderse Academy18-01.41
4/23HGeneva12-20.00
4/25AMidlakes17-0-5.82
4/30HNewark20-10.51
5/02ABloomfield-Honeoye20-50.46
5/05HWaterloo15-13.64
5/07APalmyra-Macedon17-1-3.72
5/14HMarcus Whitman20-15.21
5/21ANewark20-0-3.14
5/29HBatavia20-1-0.56
6/09NSilver Creek17-610.98
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 129
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.66   Natl Power Rank 128
Natl SOS Rating 87.31   Natl SOS Rank 881
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.65   Natl Quality Win Rank 500
W-L Pct Rating 0.87   W-L Pct Rank 135
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 20-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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