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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Phillips Andover Big Blue (8-6)

Region: NE East-1

State: MA

Coach: Stephen Carr

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/01	BELMONT HILL (10-6)	NE ISL	96.2	8	W	12-	4		0.200
4/08	at Northfield Mt Hermon (6-10)	NE 1 West	89.5		W	9-	7		0.125
4/11	TILTON SCHOOL (5-9)	NE North	88.5		W	15-	3		0.000
4/15	at Brewster Academy (14-1)	NE North	99.1	1	L	4-	9		-0.100
4/18	at Hyde-Bath (1-11)	NE North	83.3		W	16-	3		0.000
4/22	HOLDERNESS (9-5)	NE East-1	95.5		W	10-	5		0.150
4/25	DEERFIELD (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.6		L	4-	9		-0.200
4/29	TABOR ACADEMY (7-8)	NE East-1	94.3		L	3-	5		-0.350
5/02	at Loomis Chaffee (4-12)	NE 1 West	87.8		W	10-	4		0.075
5/06	WORCESTER ACADEMY (4-10)	NE East-1	84.9		W	15-	3		0.000
5/09	at Kimball Union (12-3)	NE East-1	96.9	6	L	8-	9		-0.175
5/16	CHOATE (7-9)	NE 1 West	89.2		L	8-	9		-0.450
5/20	POMFRET (6-9)	NE East-1	90.6		W	10-	2		0.050
5/22	at Phillips Exeter (11-4)	NE East-1	97.2	5	L	4-	9		-0.150
			92.3						-0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Belmont Hill	12-	4	8	2	++	-1.35	5.73
4/08	A	Northfield Mt Hermon	9-	7	2	5	–	1.32		-3.04
4/11	H	Tilton School	15-	3	12	11		-1.35	0.53
4/15	A	Brewster Academy	4-	9	-5	-6		1.35	1.40
4/18	A	Hyde-Bath	16-	3	13	13		1.35	-0.25
4/22	H	Holderness	10-	5	5	4		-1.35	1.47
4/25	H	Deerfield	4-	9	-5	-2	–	-1.32		-2.60
4/29	H	Tabor Academy	3-	5	-2	4	––	-1.35	-5.59
5/02	A	Loomis Chaffee	10-	4	6	7		1.32		-0.76
5/06	H	Worcester Academy	15-	3	12	16	–	-1.35	-3.76
5/09	A	Kimball Union	8-	9	-1	-3		1.35	1.50
5/16	H	Choate	8-	9	-1	8	–––	-1.32		-9.01
5/20	H	Pomfret	10-	2	8	8		-1.35	-0.07
5/22	A	Phillips Exeter	4-	9	-5	-4		1.35	-0.95
									0.00	-15.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	Tilton School	15-	3	-0.53
4/18	A	Hyde-Bath	16-	3	0.25
5/06	H	Worcester Academy	15-	3	3.76
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	190
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.88		Natl Power Rank	190
Natl SOS Rating	92.32		Natl SOS Rank	206
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	2838
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1149
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7

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