| Region: MI 1 | State: MI | Coach: Mike Costello |
| Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/23 | NOVI (13-7) | MI 1 | 88.1 | | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.125 |
3/25 | at South Lyon (13-5) | MI 1 | 86.6 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.150 |
3/30 | at Canton (8-8) | MI 1 | 82.4 | | L | 3- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/01 | NORTHVILLE (7-10) | MI 1 | 82.5 | | L | 6- | 7 | ot | -0.275 |
4/04 | at Lincoln-Ypsilanti (7-10) | MI 2 | 77.0 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/09 | at Salem (4-13) | MI 1 | 77.0 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/17 | at Ypsilanti (5-12) | MI 2 | 71.7 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/20 | SOUTH LYON (13-5) | MI 1 | 86.6 | | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.225 |
4/22 | CANTON (8-8) | MI 1 | 82.4 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.225 |
4/25 | OKEMOS (15-2) | MI 2 | 90.8 | 8 | L | 6- | 18 | | -0.075 |
4/27 | at Northville (7-10) | MI 1 | 82.5 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/29 | SALEM (4-13) | MI 1 | 77.0 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | at OL St Mary's (18-5) | MI 2 | 93.0 | 3 | L | 9- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at Chelsea (4-9) | MI 4 Club | 77.7 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.200 |
5/07 | at Saline (13-7) | MI 2 | 86.1 | | L | 11- | 12 | | -0.150 |
5/09 | ANN ARBOR GREENHILLS (10-6) | MI 2 | 78.5 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.050 |
5/11 | at Novi (13-7) | MI 1 | 88.1 | | L | 9- | 17 | | -0.050 |
5/13 | SALEM (4-13) | MI 1 | 77.0 | | W | 19- | 9 | | 0.000 |
5/21 | at Birmingham-Seaholm (6-14) | MI 1 | 86.1 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.075 |
| | 82.7 | | | | | | -0.97 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/23 | H | Novi | 7- | 12 | -5 | -5 | | -1.54 | 0.12 | |
3/25 | A | South Lyon | 6- | 11 | -5 | -4 | | 1.54 | -1.14 | |
3/30 | A | Canton | 3- | 9 | -6 | -2 | – | 1.54 | -3.95 | |
4/01 | H | Northville | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.54 | -2.12 | |
4/04 | A | Lincoln-Ypsilanti | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | 1.54 | -0.50 | |
4/09 | A | Salem | 19- | 3 | 16 | 8 | +++ | 1.54 | 8.27 | |
4/17 | A | Ypsilanti | 15- | 1 | 14 | 15 | | 1.54 | -0.63 | |
4/20 | H | South Lyon | 5- | 11 | -6 | -1 | –– | -1.54 | -5.23 | |
4/22 | H | Canton | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | -1.54 | -0.04 | |
4/25 | H | Okemos | 6- | 18 | -12 | -7 | –– | -1.54 | -5.38 | |
4/27 | A | Northville | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | 1.54 | 0.97 | |
4/29 | H | Salem | 14- | 7 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.54 | -3.82 | |
5/02 | A | OL St Mary's | 9- | 18 | -9 | -12 | + | 1.54 | 2.88 | |
5/06 | A | Chelsea | 15- | 2 | 13 | 2 | +++ | 1.29 | | 11.23 |
5/07 | A | Saline | 11- | 12 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.54 | 2.97 | |
5/09 | H | Ann Arbor Greenhills | 15- | 1 | 14 | 8 | ++ | -1.54 | 5.84 | |
5/11 | A | Novi | 9- | 17 | -8 | -8 | | 1.54 | 0.21 | |
5/13 | H | Salem | 19- | 9 | 10 | 11 | | -1.54 | -0.82 | |
5/21 | A | Birmingham-Seaholm | 4- | 9 | -5 | -7 | + | 1.54 | 2.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 11.23 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/09 | A | Salem | 19- | 3 | -6.00 |
4/17 | A | Ypsilanti | 15- | 1 | 0.63 |
4/25 | H | Okemos | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
5/06 | A | Chelsea | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
5/09 | H | Ann Arbor Greenhills | 15- | 1 | -4.00 |
5/13 | H | Salem | 19- | 9 | 0.82 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.50 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 80. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1845 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.81 | | Natl Power Rank | 1845 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.43 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1696 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.97 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2926 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.42 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1772 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.0 |
| 
