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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Ponderosa Mustangs (11-5)

Region: CO DougCo

State: CO

Coach: Lance Meurer

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/10	GATEWAY (1-14)	CO So-Sub	75.2		W	13-	0		0.000
3/13	CHEROKEE TRAIL (4-9)	CO Centenn	85.5		W	7-	4		0.150
3/17	at Boulder (9-6)	CO North	89.9		W	7-	6		0.250
3/20	WHEAT RIDGE (8-9)	CO Foothil	90.6		W	7-	5		0.250
3/26	at Hazelwood Central (12-5)	MO Div-2	88.9		W	11-	2		0.175
3/27	at Parkway West (10-7)	MO Div-1	90.7		W	9-	7		0.225
3/28	vs. Lafayette # (6-11)	MO Div-1	84.4		W	11-	7		0.050
3/31	at Mountain Vista (12-4)	CO DougCo	95.6	6	L	4-	10		-0.100
4/03	at ThunderRidge (6-9)	CO DougCo	84.3		W	13-	3		0.075
4/07	CHAPARRAL (7-6)	CO DougCo	91.2		W	9-	5		0.275
4/10	HIGHLANDS RANCH (7-8)	CO DougCo	89.4		L	5-	12		-0.275
4/13	at Rock Canyon (11-6)	CO DougCo	94.3		L	4-	11		-0.150
4/21	DOUGLAS COUNTY (10-6)	CO DougCo	94.6		L	4-	7		-0.150
4/23	CASTLE VIEW (6-9)	CO DougCo	87.0		W	10-	3		0.150
4/28	at George Washington (4-10)	CO FRange	82.6		W	8-	3		0.075
5/01	at Colorado Academy (12-4)	CO FRange	95.0	10	L	7-	8		-0.125
# Neutral site			88.7						0.87

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Gateway	13-	0	13	18	––	-0.49	-4.95
3/13	H	Cherokee Trail	7-	4	3	4		-0.49	-1.16
3/17	A	Boulder	7-	6	1	0		0.49	0.86
3/20	H	Wheat Ridge	7-	5	2	0	+	-0.49	2.37
3/26	A	Hazelwood Central	11-	2	9	3	+++	0.56		6.23
3/27	A	Parkway West	9-	7	2	1		0.56		1.06
3/28	N	Lafayette	11-	7	4	8	–	0.00		-3.81
3/31	A	Mountain Vista	4-	10	-6	-6		0.49	-0.13
4/03	A	ThunderRidge	13-	3	10	7	+	0.49	3.38
4/07	H	Chaparral	9-	5	4	-1	++	-0.49	4.86
4/10	H	Highlands Ranch	5-	12	-7	1	–––	-0.49	-8.10
4/13	A	Rock Canyon	4-	11	-7	-4	–	0.49	-2.74
4/21	H	Douglas County	4-	7	-3	-4		-0.49	1.14
4/23	H	Castle View	10-	3	7	4	+	-0.49	2.65
4/28	A	George Washington	8-	3	5	7	–	0.49	-2.39
5/01	A	Colorado Academy	7-	8	-1	-5	++	0.49	4.22
									0.00	3.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	H	Gateway	13-	0	4.95
4/03	A	ThunderRidge	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	522
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.24		Natl Power Rank	522
Natl SOS Rating	88.58		Natl SOS Rank	685
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.87		Natl Quality Win Rank	334
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	633
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7

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