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Three Rivers Falcons (9-7)

Region: WA 2 CascadeState: WACoach: Erik McGurk

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13vs. Hermiston # (6-8)OR Hi-Des78.6W15- 8 0.275  
3/17SELAH (4-8)WA 2 Cascade71.0W9- 3 0.150  
3/20at Eastside Catholic (17-2)WA 2 Cascade89.21L6-16 0.000  
3/21at Lake Tapps (13-3)WA 2 Cascade84.54L9-13 -0.100  
3/27HIGHLINE (2-10)WA 2 Cascade64.9W16- 2 0.000  
3/28FRANKLIN (0-12)WA 2 Cascade59.1W1- 0 0.000  
4/11at Sammamish (8-7)WA 2 Cascade75.8W13- 3 0.250  
4/14at Hermiston (6-8)OR Hi-Des78.6W11- 7 0.300  
4/17LAKE TAPPS (13-3)WA 2 Cascade84.54L6-13 -0.125  
4/24at Highline (2-10)WA 2 Cascade64.9W11- 6 0.025  
4/25at Franklin (0-12)WA 2 Cascade59.1W11- 3 0.000  
4/28HERMISTON (6-8)OR Hi-Des78.6L4-14 -0.250  
5/08SAMMAMISH (8-7)WA 2 Cascade75.8L5- 8 -0.300  
5/09EASTSIDE CATHOLIC (17-2)WA 2 Cascade89.21L2-15 0.000  
5/12at Selah (4-8)WA 2 Cascade71.0W11- 7 0.175  
5/15at Overlake (16-2)WA 2 Evergrn88.62L4-15 0.000  
# Neutral site 75.8     0.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13NHermiston15-87   -1       +++0.00       8.00
3/17HSelah9-36   4       -0.76       1.86
3/20AEastside Catholic6-16-10   -11       0.76       1.22
3/21ALake Tapps9-13-4   -6       +0.76       2.34
3/27HHighline16-214   10       +-0.76       3.69
4/11ASammamish13-310   0       +++0.76       10.00
4/14AHermiston11-74   -2       ++0.69       5.69
4/17HLake Tapps6-13-7   -5       -0.76       -2.17
4/24AHighline11-65   9       0.76       -3.80
4/25AFranklin11-38   14       ––0.76       -5.64
4/28HHermiston4-14-10   0       –––-0.69       -9.69
5/08HSammamish5-8-3   2       ––-0.76       -4.52
5/09HEastside Catholic2-15-13   -10       -0.76       -3.29
5/12ASelah11-74   3       0.76       1.38
5/15AOverlake4-15-11   -10       0.76       -1.08
         0.004.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20AEastside Catholic6-16-1.22
3/27HHighline16-2-3.69
4/11ASammamish13-30.00
4/28HHermiston4-140.00
5/09HEastside Catholic2-153.00
5/15AOverlake4-151.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 77.   Natl CCR Rank 2166
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 77.64   Natl Power Rank 2166
Natl SOS Rating 75.44   Natl SOS Rank 2586
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 708
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1204
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.7



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