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Rivers Red Wings (14-2)

Region: NE ISL

State: MA

Coach: Justin Walker

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/01	BREWSTER ACADEMY (14-1)	NE North	99.1	1	L	7-	8	ot	-0.275
4/04	MILTON ACADEMY (10-5)	NE ISL	96.2	9	W	12-	6		0.050
4/08	ST MARK'S (2-13)	NE ISL	88.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/11	at Thayer Academy (8-8)	NE ISL	94.0		W	16-	6		0.050
4/15	BROOKS SCHOOL (7-12)	NE ISL	92.0		W	20-	5		0.000
4/18	at Buckingham, B&N (8-10)	NE ISL	92.2		W	18-	8		0.025
4/22	at The Governor's Academy (15-1)	NE ISL	98.6	2	W	10-	9		0.250
4/25	at Middlesex (14-1)	NE ISL	98.6	4	L	4-	8		-0.250
4/29	ST PAUL'S (6-10)	NE ISL	91.3		W	19-	4		0.000
5/02	at St Sebastian (10-6)	NE ISL	96.3	7	W	13-	11		0.175
5/06	at St George's (3-15)	NE ISL	88.3		W	18-	8		0.000
5/09	BELMONT HILL (10-6)	NE ISL	96.2	8	W	12-	6		0.075
5/13	LAWRENCE ACADEMY (0-17)	NE ISL	83.1		W	19-	2		0.000
5/16	GROTON SCHOOL (7-10)	NE ISL	92.1		W	19-	6		0.000
5/18	ROXBURY LATIN (6-9)	NE ISL	93.0		W	18-	5		0.000
5/21	vs. Noble & Greenough # (9-7)	NE ISL	95.8		W	10-	4		0.100
# Neutral site			93.5						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Brewster Academy	7-	8	-1	1	–	-1.35	-2.17
4/04	H	Milton Academy	12-	6	6	8		-1.35	-1.86
4/08	H	St Mark's	16-	3	13	13		-1.35	0.20
4/11	A	Thayer Academy	16-	6	10	8	+	1.35	2.44
4/15	H	Brooks School	20-	5	15	11	++	-1.35	4.23
4/18	A	Buckingham, B&N	18-	8	10	9		1.35	1.17
4/22	A	The Governor's Academy	10-	9	1	0		1.35	1.04
4/25	A	Middlesex	4-	8	-4	0	––	1.35	-4.22
4/29	H	St Paul's	19-	4	15	13		-1.35	1.83
5/02	A	St Sebastian	13-	11	2	3		1.35	-1.37
5/06	A	St George's	18-	8	10	11		1.35	-0.52
5/09	H	Belmont Hill	12-	6	6	7		-1.35	-1.13
5/13	H	Lawrence Academy	19-	2	17	20	–	-1.35	-3.23
5/16	H	Groton School	19-	6	13	12		-1.35	1.24
5/18	H	Roxbury Latin	18-	5	13	10	+	-1.35	2.62
5/21	N	Noble & Greenough	10-	4	6	6		0.00	-0.27
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	St Mark's	16-	3	-0.20
4/11	A	Thayer Academy	16-	6	0.00
4/15	H	Brooks School	20-	5	-4.23
4/18	A	Buckingham, B&N	18-	8	0.00
4/29	H	St Paul's	19-	4	-1.83
5/06	A	St George's	18-	8	0.52
5/13	H	Lawrence Academy	19-	2	3.23
5/16	H	Groton School	19-	6	-1.24
5/18	H	Roxbury Latin	18-	5	-2.62
10-goal correction: -0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	99.		Natl CCR Rank	51
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	98.63		Natl Power Rank	38
Natl SOS Rating	93.44		Natl SOS Rank	98
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1085
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	123
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	10.7

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