| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Justin Fitzgeral |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/12 | LAKE BRADDOCK (7-5) | VA Patriot | 87.8 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.025 |
3/17 | at Woodson (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.250 |
3/21 | vs. Dulaney # (9-9) | MD 43 South | 91.2 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.200 |
3/23 | CHANTILLY (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 5- | 6 | 3ot | -0.325 |
3/27 | at Centreville (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.075 |
3/31 | HERNDON (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.075 |
4/16 | at Oakton (5-8) | VA Concord | 90.9 | 7 | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.200 |
4/20 | at Fairfax (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.6 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.050 |
4/22 | at Landon (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.075 |
4/24 | COLLEGIATE SCHOOL (13-7) | VA 1 VIP | 94.3 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | -0.275 |
4/27 | WESTFIELD (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.125 |
5/01 | CENTREVILLE (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | vs. Westfield # (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.350 |
5/12 | at Madison (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.225 |
5/14 | at Mount Vernon (11-6) | VA Nationl | 86.5 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/18 | vs. Woodson # (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.200 |
5/20 | vs. Langley # (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 5- | 6 | 2ot | -0.225 |
5/30 | SALEM (12-6) | VA RivRdg | 92.7 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.200 |
6/04 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 5- | 8 | | -0.275 |
| # Neutral site | | 91.7 | | | | | | -0.40 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Lake Braddock | 14- | 6 | 8 | 9 | | -1.30 | -1.41 | |
3/17 | A | Woodson | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 1.30 | -1.36 | |
3/21 | N | Dulaney | 8- | 4 | 4 | 2 | | 0.00 | | 1.72 |
3/23 | H | Chantilly | 5- | 6 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.30 | -3.60 | |
3/27 | A | Centreville | 12- | 4 | 8 | 7 | | 1.30 | 0.93 | |
3/31 | H | Herndon | 7- | 4 | 3 | 7 | – | -1.30 | -3.93 | |
4/16 | A | Oakton | 15- | 8 | 7 | 2 | ++ | 1.30 | 5.04 | |
4/20 | A | Fairfax | 16- | 2 | 14 | 8 | ++ | 1.30 | 5.69 | |
4/22 | A | Landon | 4- | 10 | -6 | -7 | | 1.36 | | 0.55 |
4/24 | H | Collegiate School | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | -1.45 | | -1.59 |
4/27 | H | Westfield | 8- | 4 | 4 | 5 | | -1.30 | -1.04 | |
5/01 | H | Centreville | 16- | 3 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.30 | 3.33 | |
5/05 | N | Westfield | 5- | 7 | -2 | 4 | –– | 0.00 | -5.74 | |
5/12 | A | Madison | 9- | 6 | 3 | 1 | + | 1.30 | 2.09 | |
5/14 | A | Mount Vernon | 17- | 4 | 13 | 10 | + | 1.30 | 3.39 | |
5/18 | N | Woodson | 7- | 4 | 3 | 2 | | 0.00 | 1.34 | |
5/20 | N | Langley | 5- | 6 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.43 | |
5/30 | H | Salem | 12- | 3 | 9 | 2 | +++ | -1.50 | | 6.76 |
6/04 | N | Chantilly | 5- | 8 | -3 | 1 | –– | 0.00 | -4.30 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 7.45 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/20 | A | Fairfax | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
5/01 | H | Centreville | 16- | 3 | -3.33 |
5/14 | A | Mount Vernon | 17- | 4 | -3.39 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.56 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 317 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.47 | | Natl Power Rank | 317 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.65 | | Natl SOS Rank | 281 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2438 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.63 | | W-L Pct Rank | 904 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
