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St Anne's-Belfield Saints (18-2)

Region: VA 1 VIPState: VACoach: Doug Tarring

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14BOYS' LATIN (14-4)MD A MIAA98.9L5-17 -0.275  
3/20at St Stephen/St Agnes (16-7)DC IAC96.3W9- 6 0.225  
3/24GERMANTOWN ACADEMY (6-12)PA IAC90.4W8- 1 0.025  
3/27ST ALBANS (15-7)DC IAC96.5L9-12 -0.350  
3/28PENN CHARTER (6-15)PA IAC90.3W11- 5 0.025  
3/30LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (13-3)KY Div-1A90.8W12- 4 0.025  
3/31at Notre Dame Academy (11-10)MD MILL92.5W10- 8 0.150  
4/03CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (8-9)VA 1 Tidewtr83.77W19- 1 0.000  
4/07at Collegiate School (13-7)VA 1 VIP94.03W9- 3 0.175  
4/14TRINITY EPISCOPAL (4-12)VA 3 Indep74.1W19- 2 0.000  
4/17at St Christopher's (8-9)VA 1 VIP88.06W13- 8 0.050  
4/25NORFOLK ACADEMY (17-5)VA 1 Tidewtr94.62W12- 6 0.125  
5/01at Woodberry Forest (6-8)VA 1 VIP88.15W14- 9 0.050  
5/02FLINT HILL (11-8)DC MAC94.8W15- 6 0.125  
5/05at Western Albemarle (8-9)VA Jeffsn89.2W12- 5 0.050  
5/07COVENANT (13-5)VA 1 VIC88.24W19- 7 0.000  
5/08CHRISTCHURCH (5-12)VA 2 VIC73.1W1- 0 0.250  
5/12COVENANT (13-5)VA 1 VIC88.24W21- 5 0.000  
5/15at Collegiate School (13-7)VA 1 VIP94.03W18-11 0.175  
5/16vs. St Stephen/St Agnes # (16-7)DC IAC96.3W9- 8 1.200  
# Neutral site 90.1     2.03  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14HBoys' Latin5-17-12   1       –––-1.51       -13.16
3/20ASt Stephen/St Agnes9-63   1       +1.51       2.24
3/24HGermantown Academy8-17   9       –-1.18       -2.32
3/27HSt Albans9-12-3   4       –––-1.51       -6.61
3/28HPenn Charter11-56   9       –-1.18       -3.39
3/30HLouisville St Xavier12-48   9       -1.26       -1.06
3/31ANotre Dame Academy10-82   4       –1.71       -2.31
4/03HCape Henry Collegiate19-118   16       -1.61       1.66
4/07ACollegiate School9-36   3       +1.61       2.88
4/14HTrinity Episcopal19-217   26       –––-1.52       -9.02
4/17ASt Christopher's13-85   8       –1.61       -3.41
4/25HNorfolk Academy12-66   5       -1.61       1.18
5/01AWoodberry Forest14-95   8       –1.61       -2.59
5/02HFlint Hill15-69   5       +-1.71       3.54
5/05AWestern Albemarle12-57   8       1.65       -0.67
5/07HCovenant19-712   16       –-1.61       -3.80
5/12HCovenant21-516   16       -1.61       0.20
5/15ACollegiate School18-117   3       +1.61       3.88
5/16NSt Stephen/St Agnes9-81   2       0.00       -1.28
         0.00-34.02

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14HBoys' Latin5-170.00
4/03HCape Henry Collegiate19-1-1.66
4/14HTrinity Episcopal19-29.02
5/07HCovenant19-73.80
5/12HCovenant21-5-0.20
10-goal correction: 0.58

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 42
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 45
Natl Power Rating 98.55   Natl Power Rank 45
Natl SOS Rating 90.36   Natl SOS Rank 426
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.03   Natl Quality Win Rank 39
W-L Pct Rating 0.90   W-L Pct Rank 96
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 9.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 9.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.0



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