| Region: AZ 1 Div-1 | State: AZ | Coach: Nick Schmitz |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/10 | A | Gilbert I | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | | 0.84 | 1.90 | |
3/19 | H | Corona del Sol | 11- | 8 | 3 | -2 | ++ | -0.84 | 5.03 | |
3/24 | A | Mountain Pointe | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 0.84 | 0.43 | |
3/28 | H | Tucson Tanque Verde | 16- | 9 | 7 | 3 | ++ | -0.84 | 4.32 | |
3/31 | H | Hamilton | 9- | 8 | 1 | 8 | | -0.84 | -6.82 | |
4/03 | A | Brophy Prep | 4- | 14 | -10 | -6 | | 0.84 | -3.77 | |
4/08 | H | Chandler | 12- | 6 | 6 | 0 | +++ | -0.84 | 6.26 | |
4/17 | A | Desert Mountain | 9- | 13 | -4 | -1 | | 0.84 | -2.89 | |
4/18 | H | Seattle Prep | 13- | 10 | 3 | 0 | + | -1.42 | | 3.01 |
4/21 | H | Highland-East Valley | 16- | 4 | 12 | 9 | + | -0.84 | 3.21 | |
4/28 | H | Desert Vista | 9- | 10 | -1 | 2 | | -0.84 | -3.25 | |
5/01 | A | Chaparral | 3- | 16 | -13 | -9 | | 0.84 | -4.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.01 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/03 | A | Brophy Prep | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
4/21 | H | Highland-East Valley | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
5/01 | A | Chaparral | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 85. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1361 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.77 | | Natl Power Rank | 1361 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.26 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1552 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 801 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.58 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1087 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
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