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2009
2008
2007
2006

Scotts Valley Falcons (10-5)

Conference: D1

Region: CA SCCAL

State: CA

Coach: Wes Koenig

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/25	at Saint Ignatius Prep (21-1)	CA Indep	98.9	1	L	4-	19		0.000
2/27	LOS GATOS (7-8)	CA PAL	84.3		W	19-	1		0.075
3/02	SARATOGA (1-13)	CA PAL	72.1		W	19-	3		0.000
3/04	at Bellarmine Prep (18-2)	CA PAL	95.7	5	L	3-	13		-0.075
3/12	SAN LORENZO VALLEY (6-5)	CA SCCAL	82.8		W	17-	9		0.100
3/17	at Harbor (4-12)	CA SCCAL	75.8		W	15-	3		0.025
3/20	APTOS (12-5)	CA SCCAL	85.3		W	21-	14		0.100
4/07	at Santa Cruz (0-10)	CA SCCAL	69.1		W	18-	4		0.000
4/14	at Menlo-Atherton (12-3)	CA PAL	91.7		L	9-	10		-0.150
4/16	YORK SCHOOL (7-7)	CA MTAL	81.2		W	14-	2		0.050
4/17	at Soquel (1-9)	CA SCCAL	72.7		W	1-	0		0.000
4/24	WATSONVILLE (18-4)	CA MTAL	88.1		L	5-	7		-0.375
4/28	HARBOR (4-12)	CA SCCAL	75.8		W	11-	2		0.000
5/01	at Aptos (12-5)	CA SCCAL	85.3		W	12-	10		0.150
5/07	ROBERT L STEVENSON (14-3)	CA MTAL	92.0		L	5-	13		-0.250
			83.4						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	A	Saint Ignatius Prep	4-	19	-15	-15		1.26	0.44
2/27	H	Los Gatos	19-	1	18	7	+++	-1.26	11.14
3/02	H	Saratoga	19-	3	16	15		-1.26	0.51
3/04	A	Bellarmine Prep	3-	13	-10	-7	–	1.26	-2.77
3/12	H	San Lorenzo Valley	17-	9	8	6		-1.26	1.73
3/17	A	Harbor	15-	3	12	9	+	1.26	2.53
3/20	H	Aptos	21-	14	7	6		-1.26	0.79
4/07	A	Santa Cruz	18-	4	14	15		1.26	-0.68
4/14	A	Menlo-Atherton	9-	10	-1	-4	+	1.26	2.81
4/16	H	York School	14-	2	12	8	+	-1.26	3.58
4/24	H	Watsonville	5-	7	-2	5	–––	-1.26	-7.12
4/28	H	Harbor	11-	2	9	12	–	-1.26	-2.99
5/01	A	Aptos	12-	10	2	4		1.26	-1.70
5/07	H	Robert L Stevenson	5-	13	-8	0	–––	-1.26	-8.27
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/25	A	Saint Ignatius Prep	4-	19	-0.44
2/27	H	Los Gatos	19-	1	-8.00
3/02	H	Saratoga	19-	3	-0.51
3/04	A	Bellarmine Prep	3-	13	0.00
3/17	A	Harbor	15-	3	-2.00
4/07	A	Santa Cruz	18-	4	0.68
4/16	H	York School	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.88

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	950
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.35		Natl Power Rank	950
Natl SOS Rating	83.32		Natl SOS Rank	1537
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2199
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	685
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0

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