| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Scott Smith |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
4/08 | H | Amity Regional | 1- | 11 | -10 | -12 | | -1.16 | 1.53 | |
4/11 | A | Stamford | 4- | 5 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.16 | 3.10 | |
4/14 | A | Cheshire HS | 2- | 16 | -14 | -16 | + | 1.16 | 2.08 | |
4/16 | H | Branford | 4- | 11 | -7 | -4 | | -1.16 | -2.55 | |
4/21 | A | Guilford | 2- | 16 | -14 | -12 | | 1.16 | -1.56 | |
4/23 | A | North Haven | 5- | 7 | -2 | 2 | | 1.16 | -3.79 | |
4/25 | A | Masuk-Monroe | 4- | 10 | -6 | -2 | | 1.16 | -4.37 | |
4/30 | H | West Haven | 18- | 2 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.16 | 4.81 | |
5/02 | A | Fairfield-Ludlowe | 4- | 11 | -7 | -11 | ++ | 1.16 | 4.17 | |
5/05 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 9- | 8 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 1.16 | 4.16 | |
5/07 | H | Wilbur Cross | 8- | 2 | 6 | 10 | | -1.16 | -3.81 | |
5/14 | H | Daniel Hand-Madison | 4- | 17 | -13 | -8 | | -1.16 | -5.23 | |
5/16 | H | Notre Dame-Fairfield | 10- | 5 | 5 | 3 | | -1.16 | 1.60 | |
5/18 | H | Xavier | 5- | 14 | -9 | -10 | | -1.16 | 0.83 | |
5/20 | A | Hamden | 2- | 10 | -8 | -1 | | 1.16 | -7.09 | |
5/26 | A | Fairfield Prep | 3- | 16 | -13 | -19 | +++ | 1.16 | 6.15 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/08 | H | Amity Regional | 1- | 11 | -1.53 |
4/14 | A | Cheshire HS | 2- | 16 | -2.08 |
4/21 | A | Guilford | 2- | 16 | 1.56 |
4/30 | H | West Haven | 18- | 2 | -4.81 |
5/14 | H | Daniel Hand-Madison | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
5/26 | A | Fairfield Prep | 3- | 16 | -6.15 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.62 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 84. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1459 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.19 | | Natl Power Rank | 1459 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 89.25 | | Natl SOS Rank | 591 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.58 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2574 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.25 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2318 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -10.0 |
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