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2009
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2005

Seneca Valley Raiders (14-5)

Region: PA Div1-S2

State: PA

Coach: Peter Hoffman

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Seneca Valley (PA) Looks to Move Championship West

The first year of the true Pennsylvania state championship game was 2000. Every year since, an eastern team has won the title. Now, it seems that the gap is closing between the East and the rest of the Keystone state. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*				COR
3/21	at Chambersburg (9-6)	PA Mid 1	85.8		W	17-	7		0.000
3/21	at Haverford School (16-8)	PA IAC	99.0		L	6-	13		-0.175
3/25	at Fox Chapel (6-9)	PA Div1-S2	86.8		W	18-	6		0.050
3/27	HILLIARD DAVIDSON (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	94.6		W	12-	6		0.175
3/28	UPPER ST CLAIR (13-6)	PA Div1-S1	94.1	5	W	15-	7		0.125
4/01	PINE RICHLAND (8-7)	PA Div1-S2	90.5		W	14-	7		0.075
4/07	at Shady Side Academy (9-11)	PA Div1-S2	91.6	8	W	7-	6		0.150
4/15	SEWICKLEY ACADEMY (10-8)	PA Div1-S2	94.0	6	W	14-	2		0.100
4/18	BETHEL PARK (12-6)	PA Div1-S1	94.4	4	W	8-	6		0.125
4/22	at North Allegheny (18-4)	PA Div1-S2	96.4	2	W	8-	7		0.250
4/24	MOUNT LEBANON (14-8)	PA Div1-S1	94.6	3	W	10-	5		0.150
4/25	vs. Cleveland St Ignatius # (14-5)	OH 1 Reg 3	95.2		L	7-	8		-0.300
4/29	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (1-13)	PA Div1-S2	82.5		W	14-	4		0.000
5/01	at Western Reserve Acad (19-4)	OH 1 Indep	98.4		L	5-	12		-0.175
5/04	PETERS TOWNSHIP (7-10)	PA Div1-S1	87.9		W	15-	2		0.000
5/06	BUTLER AREA (9-6)	PA Div2-S2	89.4		W	11-	5		0.025
5/13	UPPER ST CLAIR (13-6)	PA Div1-S1	94.1	5	W	14-	7		0.125
5/20	vs. Mount Lebanon # (14-8)	PA Div1-S1	94.6	3	L	6-	7	ot	-0.325
5/22	vs. North Allegheny # (18-4)	PA Div1-S2	96.4	2	L	8-	10		-0.275
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			92.6						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Chambersburg	17-	7	10	10		1.05		-0.01
3/21	A	Haverford School	6-	13	-7	-3	–	0.96		-3.89
3/25	A	Fox Chapel	18-	6	12	8	+	1.16	3.64
3/27	H	Hilliard Davidson	12-	6	6	3	+	-1.13		2.59
3/28	H	Upper St Clair	15-	7	8	5	+	-1.16	2.52
4/01	H	Pine Richland	14-	7	7	7		-1.16	-0.33
4/07	A	Shady Side Academy	7-	6	1	4	–	1.16	-2.51
4/15	H	Sewickley Academy	14-	2	12	6	++	-1.16	5.84
4/18	H	Bethel Park	8-	6	2	5	–	-1.16	-2.73
4/22	A	North Allegheny	8-	7	1	0		1.16	0.98
4/24	H	Mount Lebanon	10-	5	5	4		-1.16	1.02
4/25	N	Cleveland St Ignatius	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.00		-2.64
4/29	H	Central Catholic	14-	4	10	13	–	-1.16	-3.26
5/01	A	Western Reserve Acad	5-	12	-7	-3	––	1.13		-4.32
5/04	H	Peters Township	15-	2	13	10	+	-1.16	3.10
5/06	H	Butler Area	11-	5	6	9	–	-1.16	-2.80
5/13	H	Upper St Clair	14-	7	7	5		-1.16	1.52
5/20	N	Mount Lebanon	6-	7	-1	3	–	0.00	-3.82
5/22	N	North Allegheny	8-	10	-2	1	–	0.00	-3.18
									0.00	-8.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Chambersburg	17-	7	0.01
3/25	A	Fox Chapel	18-	6	-2.00
4/15	H	Sewickley Academy	14-	2	-2.00
4/29	H	Central Catholic	14-	4	3.26
5/04	H	Peters Township	15-	2	-3.10
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.	Natl CCR Rank	117
Natl Poll Vote	n/a	Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.85	Natl Power Rank	116
Natl SOS Rating	92.34	Natl SOS Rank	205
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10	Natl Quality Win Rank	1274
W-L Pct Rating	0.74	W-L Pct Rank	480
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3