| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Scott Mitchell |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/11 | at Wakefield HS (0-12) | VA Nationl | 65.0 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/13 | WASHINGTON-LEE (10-5) | VA Nationl | 85.3 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.050 |
3/17 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Falls Church (7-8) | VA Nationl | 82.1 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.075 |
3/25 | at Broad Run (16-4) | VA Dulles | 96.2 | | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.050 |
3/27 | at Madison (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 9- | 16 | | -0.150 |
3/31 | at Thos Jefferson (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.225 |
4/02 | LANGLEY (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 1- | 16 | | -0.150 |
4/16 | WOODSON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/22 | at South Lakes (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/24 | at McLean (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.100 |
4/28 | HERNDON (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | W | 10- | 9 | 2ot | 0.200 |
5/01 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | L | 12- | 13 | ot | -0.350 |
| | 86.7 | | | | | | -0.03 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | A | Wakefield HS | 18- | 0 | 18 | 20 | | 1.30 | -1.91 | |
3/13 | H | Washington-Lee | 13- | 1 | 12 | 8 | + | -1.30 | 3.98 | |
3/17 | H | Marshall | 13- | 3 | 10 | 10 | | -1.30 | -0.21 | |
3/20 | A | Falls Church | 15- | 2 | 13 | 7 | ++ | 1.30 | 5.83 | |
3/25 | A | Broad Run | 6- | 10 | -4 | -8 | + | 1.50 | | 3.54 |
3/27 | A | Madison | 9- | 16 | -7 | -4 | – | 1.30 | -2.76 | |
3/31 | A | Thos Jefferson | 12- | 5 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 1.30 | 5.75 | |
4/02 | H | Langley | 1- | 16 | -15 | -4 | ––– | -1.30 | -10.58 | |
4/16 | H | Woodson | 5- | 9 | -4 | -2 | | -1.30 | -1.81 | |
4/22 | A | South Lakes | 7- | 6 | 1 | 1 | | 1.30 | -0.22 | |
4/24 | A | McLean | 16- | 2 | 14 | 6 | +++ | 1.30 | 7.56 | |
4/28 | H | Herndon | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | -1.30 | -0.78 | |
5/01 | H | Thos Jefferson | 12- | 13 | -1 | 4 | –– | -1.30 | -4.85 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.54 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/11 | A | Wakefield HS | 18- | 0 | 1.91 |
3/13 | H | Washington-Lee | 13- | 1 | -2.00 |
3/17 | H | Marshall | 13- | 3 | 0.21 |
3/20 | A | Falls Church | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
4/02 | H | Langley | 1- | 16 | 5.00 |
4/24 | A | McLean | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.14 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 714 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.16 | | Natl Power Rank | 714 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.64 | | Natl SOS Rank | 970 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.03 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1621 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.62 | | W-L Pct Rank | 958 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
|
