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St Francis Red Raiders (6-11)

Region: NY P Sec 6State: NYCoach: Kiel Illg

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27at McQuaid Jesuit (9-11)NY B Sec 588.8L5- 6 -0.025  
3/28at Aquinas Institute (16-4)NY C Sec 593.6L3-10 0.000  
3/31HAMBURG (18-3)NY B Sec 693.12L3- 5 -0.100  
4/06WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (11-8)NY B Sec 683.310L5- 8 -0.225  
4/21at Nichols (5-11)NY P Sec 678.9W15- 6 0.275  
4/23ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (3-13)NY P Sec 675.4W9- 5 0.100  
4/25at Cathedral Prep (8-10)PA Div2-S281.3W8- 3 0.300  
4/29at Timon St Jude (14-4)NY P Sec 690.73L1-16 -0.050  
5/01at Canisius (12-9)NY P Sec 689.35L5- 8 -0.050  
5/04NICHOLS (5-11)NY P Sec 678.9L7- 8ot-0.300  
5/06at St Joseph Collegiate (3-13)NY P Sec 675.4W6- 3 0.175  
5/08WEST SENECA EAST (8-9)NY B Sec 681.0L4- 7 -0.275  
5/12TIMON ST JUDE (14-4)NY P Sec 690.73L7- 8 -0.125  
5/14CANISIUS (12-9)NY P Sec 689.35L10-15 -0.125  
5/16NORTH TONAWANDA (1-11)NY A Sec 669.3W16- 2 0.000  
5/18at Lockport (4-14)NY A Sec 673.0W11- 4 0.100  
5/22vs. Canisius # (12-9)NY P Sec 689.35L4-17 -0.100  
# Neutral site 83.6     -0.43  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AMcQuaid Jesuit5-6-1   -9       +++1.34       8.32
3/28AAquinas Institute3-10-7   -14       +++1.34       7.09
3/31HHamburg3-5-2   -6       +-1.35       3.91
4/06HWilliamsville East5-8-3   -1       -1.35       -1.74
4/21ANichols15-69   -1       +++1.35       10.01
4/23HSt Joseph Collegiate9-54   6       –-1.35       -2.20
4/25ACathedral Prep8-35   -2       +++1.26       6.67
4/29ATimon St Jude1-16-15   -8       –––1.35       -7.46
5/01ACanisius5-8-3   -8       ++1.35       4.65
5/04HNichols7-8-1   2       –-1.35       -2.69
5/06ASt Joseph Collegiate6-33   3       1.35       -0.50
5/08HWest Seneca East4-7-3   1       ––-1.35       -4.20
5/12HTimon St Jude7-8-1   -5       +-1.35       3.84
5/14HCanisius10-15-5   -5       -1.35       -0.05
5/16HNorth Tonawanda16-214   12       -1.35       1.79
5/18ALockport11-47   6       1.35       1.33
5/22NCanisius4-17-13   -6       –––0.00       -6.70
         0.0022.08

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/29ATimon St Jude1-165.00
5/16HNorth Tonawanda16-2-1.79
5/22NCanisius4-173.00
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 80.   Natl CCR Rank 1875
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 80.84   Natl Power Rank 1875
Natl SOS Rating 83.08   Natl SOS Rank 1581
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.43   Natl Quality Win Rank 2316
W-L Pct Rating 0.35   W-L Pct Rank 2037
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.7



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