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  • 2009


Tantasqua Regional Warriors (5-15)

Conference: CentMassRegion: MA 2State: MA

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02ST PETER MARIAN (13-5)MA 292.33L1-17 0.000  
4/04at Shrewsbury (12-8)MA 290.75L1-14 0.000  
4/09MILFORD (3-13)MA 281.8W6- 5 0.225  
4/11AMHERST-PELHAM (5-12)MA 291.7L2- 7 -0.025  
4/13WESTBOROUGH (5-11)MA 288.5L1- 7 -0.100  
4/14SHEPHERD HILL (2-14)MA 278.4W6- 2 0.175  
4/16at Nipmuc Regional (10-8)MA 287.0L4- 9 -0.075  
4/17at Amherst-Pelham (5-12)MA 291.7L0-11 0.000  
4/21NORTHBRIDGE (16-5)MA 290.66L3-10 -0.025  
4/23at Worcester Combined (0-12)MA 273.4W9- 6 0.125  
4/25at South Hadley (14-9)MA 293.7L1-15 0.000  
4/28at Grafton (16-5)MA 291.34L2-13 0.000  
4/30at St Peter Marian (13-5)MA 292.33L1-17 0.000  
5/02at Shepherd Hill (2-14)MA 278.4W5- 4 0.250  
5/07at Northbridge (16-5)MA 290.66L2-18 0.000  
5/09at Agawam (2-18)MA 288.8L6-10 -0.050  
5/12WORCESTER COMBINED (0-12)MA 273.4W11- 3 0.050  
5/14GRAFTON (16-5)MA 291.34L6-12 -0.025  
5/18NIPMUC REGIONAL (10-8)MA 287.0L3- 5 -0.150  
5/21at Milford (3-13)MA 281.8L3- 6 -0.200  
 86.7     0.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02HSt Peter Marian1-17-16   -12       -1.46       -3.74
4/04AShrewsbury1-14-13   -13       1.46       -0.35
4/09HMilford6-51   1       -1.46       -0.04
4/11HAmherst-Pelham2-7-5   -9       +-1.09       3.80
4/13HWestborough1-7-6   -6       -1.46       -0.09
4/14HShepherd Hill6-24   3       -1.46       1.43
4/16ANipmuc Regional4-9-5   -7       1.46       1.57
4/17AAmherst-Pelham0-11-11   -11       1.09       -0.02
4/21HNorthbridge3-10-7   -9       -1.46       1.55
4/23AWorcester Combined9-63   5       1.46       -1.81
4/25ASouth Hadley1-15-14   -13       1.09       -1.04
4/28AGrafton2-13-11   -12       1.46       1.30
4/30ASt Peter Marian1-17-16   -15       1.46       -0.81
5/02AShepherd Hill5-41   0       1.46       1.36
5/07ANorthbridge2-18-16   -11       ––1.46       -4.52
5/09AAgawam6-10-4   -8       ++1.09       4.10
5/12HWorcester Combined11-38   8       -1.46       0.26
5/14HGrafton6-12-6   -9       +-1.46       3.37
5/18HNipmuc Regional3-5-2   -4       -1.46       1.64
5/21AMilford3-6-3   -2       1.46       -1.11
         0.006.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HSt Peter Marian1-173.74
4/04AShrewsbury1-140.35
4/17AAmherst-Pelham0-110.02
4/25ASouth Hadley1-151.04
4/28AGrafton2-13-1.30
4/30ASt Peter Marian1-170.81
5/07ANorthbridge2-184.52
10-goal correction: 0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1727
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.82   Natl Power Rank 1727
Natl SOS Rating 86.59   Natl SOS Rank 977
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 1131
W-L Pct Rating 0.25   W-L Pct Rank 2341
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-15   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-11   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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