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Troy Athens Red Hawks (11-7)

Region: MI 1State: MICoach: Nick Stensen

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25at Rochester Adams (14-5)MI 285.3W12- 3 0.125  
3/28LAKE ORION (6-11)MI 177.9W11- 1 0.000  
3/31ROCHESTER STONEY CREEK (9-9)MI 178.7W15- 2 0.000  
4/17at Pine Richland (8-7)PA Div1-S289.8L5- 7 -0.225  
4/18at North Allegheny (18-4)PA Div1-S296.3L10-11 -0.050  
4/21at Troy (2-15)MI 176.5W18- 1 0.000  
4/23DE LA SALLE (10-8)MI 289.0W9- 5 0.175  
4/28at Ann Arbor Pioneer (16-6)MI 192.37L4- 8 -0.150  
5/01UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (14-9)MI 192.95L9-11 -0.200  
5/05DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (4-15)MI 284.6W10- 7 0.125  
5/07at Birmingham-Seaholm (6-14)MI 186.1W14- 5 0.225  
5/09at Forest Hills Central (15-5)MI 292.76L8-13 -0.125  
5/12DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (10-10)MI 189.8W10- 9 0.225  
5/14at Novi (13-7)MI 188.1L4-15 -0.250  
5/15at Bloomfield Hills (9-10)MI 184.6W14- 6 0.125  
5/20ROMEO (4-15)MI 177.5W14- 2 0.000  
5/27vs. L'Anse Creuse North # (11-7)MI 182.2W15- 2 0.000  
5/29vs. Detroit Catholic Cent # (10-10)MI 189.8L3- 5 -0.250  
# Neutral site 86.3     -0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25ARochester Adams12-39   5       ++1.54       4.50
3/28HLake Orion11-110   15       ––-1.54       -5.26
3/31HRochester Stoney Creek15-213   12       -1.54       0.54
4/17APine Richland5-7-2   -1       1.35       -0.63
4/18ANorth Allegheny10-11-1   -8       +++1.35       6.88
4/21ATroy18-117   15       +1.54       2.23
4/23HDe La Salle9-54   3       -1.54       0.80
4/28AAnn Arbor Pioneer4-8-4   -4       1.54       0.10
5/01HUniv Detroit Jesuit9-11-2   -2       -1.54       -0.38
5/05HDetroit Country Day10-73   5       –-1.54       -2.19
5/07ABirmingham-Seaholm14-59   1       +++1.54       8.25
5/09AForest Hills Central8-13-5   -5       1.54       0.35
5/12HDetroit Catholic Cent10-91   1       -1.54       -0.27
5/14ANovi4-15-11   0       –––1.54       -10.91
5/15ABloomfield Hills14-68   5       +1.54       2.96
5/20HRomeo14-212   14       –-1.54       -2.34
5/27NL'Anse Creuse North15-213   10       +0.00       3.34
5/29NDetroit Catholic Cent3-5-2   0       0.00       -1.72
         0.006.25

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/28HLake Orion11-15.26
3/31HRochester Stoney Creek15-2-0.54
4/21ATroy18-1-2.23
5/14ANovi4-151.00
5/20HRomeo14-22.34
5/27NL'Anse Creuse North15-2-3.34
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 90.   Natl CCR Rank 780
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.78   Natl Power Rank 780
Natl SOS Rating 86.09   Natl SOS Rank 1050
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 1968
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 975
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.7



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