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Triton Hawks (8-9)

Region: NC 3A/2AState: NCCoach: Darrin Guay

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/03SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (0-15)NC 4A63.2W16- 3 0.025  
3/04at Cardinal Gibbons (18-4)NC 3A/2A89.15L4-17 0.000  
3/06CARRBORO (9-6)NC 3A/2A79.5L8-13 -0.100  
3/10at NorthEast Guilford (2-13)NC 3A/2A63.6W12- 4 0.050  
3/13HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (2-11)NC 3A/2A66.0W12- 1 0.100  
3/19WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (4-13)NC 4A75.7L5-13 -0.175  
3/20at Northern Guilford (7-8)NC 3A/2A70.5W8- 6 0.225  
3/31DURHAM SCHOOL-ARTS (2-4)NC Indep68.4W5- 1 0.150  
4/03at Carrboro (9-6)NC 3A/2A79.5L2- 6 -0.050  
4/07at SouthEast Raleigh (0-15)NC 4A63.2W8- 3 0.075  
4/09CARDINAL GIBBONS (18-4)NC 3A/2A89.15L0-15 0.000  
4/17FIRST FLIGHT (2-10)VA Indep76.6L5- 7 -0.175  
4/22at Cedar Ridge (8-10)NC 3A/2A76.1L5-11 -0.100  
4/24CEDAR RIDGE (8-10)NC 3A/2A76.1L9-13 -0.150  
4/27at Hillsborough Orange (2-11)NC 3A/2A66.0W4- 3 0.150  
4/30NORTHERN GUILFORD (7-8)NC 3A/2A70.5W9- 7 0.175  
5/05at Cedar Ridge (8-10)NC 3A/2A76.1L8-16 -0.100  
 73.5     0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/03HSouthEast Raleigh16-313   9       ++-0.95       4.27
3/04ACardinal Gibbons4-17-13   -14       0.95       1.48
3/06HCarrboro8-13-5   -6       -0.95       0.69
3/10ANorthEast Guilford12-48   8       0.95       -0.22
3/13HHillsborough Orange12-111   6       ++-0.95       5.48
3/19HWilmington New Hanover5-13-8   -3       ––-0.95       -4.60
3/20ANorthern Guilford8-62   1       0.95       0.73
3/31HDurham School-Arts5-14   4       -0.95       -0.11
4/03ACarrboro2-6-4   -8       +0.95       3.59
4/07ASouthEast Raleigh8-35   7       0.95       -1.83
4/09HCardinal Gibbons0-15-15   -13       -0.95       -2.42
4/17HFirst Flight5-7-2   -3       -1.26       1.39
4/22ACedar Ridge5-11-6   -6       0.95       -0.46
4/24HCedar Ridge9-13-4   -4       -0.95       -0.36
4/27AHillsborough Orange4-31   4       0.95       -2.62
4/30HNorthern Guilford9-72   3       -0.95       -1.16
5/05ACedar Ridge8-16-8   -6       0.95       -2.46
         0.001.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/03HSouthEast Raleigh16-3-3.00
3/04ACardinal Gibbons4-17-1.48
3/13HHillsborough Orange12-1-1.00
4/09HCardinal Gibbons0-152.42
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 2610
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 71.98   Natl Power Rank 2610
Natl SOS Rating 73.23   Natl SOS Rank 2757
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 1216
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1597
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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