High School Computer Ratings

Tully Black Knights (8-10)

Conference: OSHL3

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Sol Bliss

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/02	at Bishop Ludden (7-12)	NY C Sec 3	90.5		L	12-	13	ot	-0.275
4/04	at Chittenango (0-17)	NY C Sec 3	82.1		W	16-	7		0.050
4/11	at Onondaga Central (5-13)	NY C Sec 3	88.4		W	16-	12		0.150
4/15	at Manlius-Pebble Hill (2-16)	NY C Sec 3	79.7		W	19-	2		0.000
4/17	CHRISTIAN BROS-SYRACUS (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	95.3		L	11-	12		-0.200
4/21	LAFAYETTE (23-1)	NY C Sec 3	99.5	1	L	6-	17		-0.050
4/23	WESTHILL (14-7)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	6	L	8-	12		-0.175
4/25	HOMER (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	95.7	9	L	11-	13		-0.200
4/28	SKANEATELES (18-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	L	8-	13		-0.125
4/30	MARCELLUS (9-11)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		W	13-	8		0.200
5/02	at Jordan-Elbridge (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	88.5		W	11-	5		0.200
5/05	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (14-7)	NY C Sec 3	96.2	8	L	7-	11		-0.200
5/07	ONONDAGA CENTRAL (5-13)	NY C Sec 3	88.4		W	13-	6		0.075
5/12	BISHOP LUDDEN (7-12)	NY C Sec 3	90.5		W	12-	9		0.175
5/14	MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (2-16)	NY C Sec 3	79.7		W	18-	2		0.000
5/19	at Christian Bros-Syracus (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	95.3		L	13-	20		-0.150
5/21	at Lafayette (23-1)	NY C Sec 3	99.5	1	L	6-	18		0.000
5/28	MARCELLUS (9-11)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		L	11-	12		-0.300
			91.7						-0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Bishop Ludden	12-	13	-1	1	–	1.20	-2.05
4/04	A	Chittenango	16-	7	9	8		1.20	0.76
4/11	A	Onondaga Central	16-	12	4	4		1.20	-0.24
4/15	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	19-	2	17	11	++	1.20	5.63
4/17	H	Christian Bros-Syracus	11-	12	-1	-2		-1.20	0.54
4/21	H	Lafayette	6-	17	-11	-8	–	-1.20	-3.22
4/23	H	Westhill	8-	12	-4	-3		-1.20	-0.90
4/25	H	Homer	11-	13	-2	-2		-1.20	-0.38
4/28	H	Skaneateles	8-	13	-5	-5		-1.20	0.39
4/30	H	Marcellus	13-	8	5	2	+	-1.20	3.47
5/02	A	Jordan-Elbridge	11-	5	6	2	+	1.20	3.62
5/05	H	Cazenovia Central	7-	11	-4	-2	–	-1.20	-2.32
5/07	H	Onondaga Central	13-	6	7	7		-1.20	0.35
5/12	H	Bishop Ludden	12-	9	3	3		-1.20	-0.46
5/14	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	2	16	14	+	-1.20	2.22
5/19	A	Christian Bros-Syracus	13-	20	-7	-4	–	1.20	-3.05
5/21	A	Lafayette	6-	18	-12	-10		1.20	-1.82
5/28	H	Marcellus	11-	12	-1	2	–	-1.20	-2.53
									0.00	0.00