| Conference: Merrimack | Region: MA 2 | State: MA | Coach: Tom Carpenito |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/31 | A | Lowell | 7- | 2 | 5 | 1 | ++ | 0.91 | 4.10 | |
4/03 | H | Central Catholic | 10- | 5 | 5 | 0 | ++ | -0.91 | 5.49 | |
4/07 | A | Andover HS | 7- | 10 | -3 | -8 | ++ | 0.91 | 4.80 | |
4/09 | A | Burlington | 6- | 8 | -2 | -5 | + | 0.91 | 2.70 | |
4/10 | H | Dracut | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | | -0.91 | -2.60 | |
4/13 | H | Saugus | 16- | 3 | 13 | 13 | | -0.91 | 0.04 | |
4/14 | H | Haverhill | 10- | 15 | -5 | -1 | | -0.91 | -4.17 | |
4/17 | A | Chelmsford | 5- | 14 | -9 | -5 | | 0.91 | -3.80 | |
4/20 | A | Saugus | 18- | 2 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 0.91 | 4.87 | |
4/27 | H | Westford Academy | 10- | 9 | 1 | -1 | + | -0.91 | 2.35 | |
4/29 | A | Central Catholic | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | 0.91 | 0.31 | |
5/01 | H | Lowell | 9- | 10 | -1 | 3 | | -0.91 | -3.72 | |
5/07 | A | Dracut | 12- | 6 | 6 | 2 | ++ | 0.91 | 4.22 | |
5/09 | H | Billerica | 2- | 12 | -10 | -9 | | -0.91 | -0.99 | |
5/12 | H | Wilmington | 14- | 6 | 8 | 6 | | -0.91 | 1.67 | |
5/14 | A | Haverhill | 4- | 14 | -10 | -3 | | 0.91 | -7.35 | |
5/18 | H | Burlington | 5- | 14 | -9 | -3 | | -0.91 | -6.13 | |
5/19 | A | Hamilton-Wenham | 7- | 8 | -1 | -2 | | 0.91 | 1.01 | |
5/21 | A | Westford Academy | 5- | 11 | -6 | -3 | | 0.91 | -2.82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/13 | H | Saugus | 16- | 3 | -0.04 |
4/20 | A | Saugus | 18- | 2 | -4.87 |
5/09 | H | Billerica | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
5/14 | A | Haverhill | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.26 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 458 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.72 | | Natl Power Rank | 458 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 92.47 | | Natl SOS Rank | 193 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.60 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2593 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.42 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1771 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.3 |
|