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University SF Red Devils (16-6)

Conference: D1Region: CA BayAreaState: CACoach: Matt Mesa

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/28at Sir Francis Drake (6-8)CA Marin84.4W14- 6 0.075  
3/05at San Marin (2-9)CA Marin82.0W12- 3 0.050  
3/06at Tamalpais (12-8)CA Marin89.7W13- 5 0.175  
3/10at Marin Catholic (11-6)CA Marin91.8L7-13 -0.275  
3/13BERKELEY (18-2)CA BayShor95.26L7- 9 -0.250  
3/17at Urban School (4-9)CA BayArea79.1W17- 2 0.000  
3/19REDWOOD (15-7)CA Marin93.410L9-102ot-0.325  
3/24SONOMA ACADEMY (5-9)CA BayArea80.2W11- 1 0.000  
3/25at Novato (12-8)CA Marin92.0W3- 22ot0.275  
3/27MARIN ACADEMY (12-3)CA BayArea88.6W11- 1 0.025  
3/30at Branson (3-11)CA Marin81.5W12- 3 0.025  
3/31at Bentley School (9-6)CA BayArea84.5W11- 5 0.050  
4/02at Saint Ignatius Prep (21-1)CA Indep98.91L8-13 0.000  
4/03at Lick-Wilmerding (7-10)CA BayArea87.1W6- 5 0.175  
4/17ARCHBISHOP MITTY (11-5)CA PAL89.2W12- 2 0.075  
4/21STUART HALL (0-11)CA BayArea71.3W19- 1 0.000  
4/23at Cardinal Newman (12-7)CA BayArea91.7L1- 3 -0.250  
4/28LICK-WILMERDING (7-10)CA BayArea87.1W4- 3 0.100  
5/01CARDINAL NEWMAN (12-7)CA BayArea91.7W5- 4 0.175  
5/06MARIN ACADEMY (12-3)CA BayArea88.6W14- 2 0.025  
5/08vs. Cardinal Newman # (12-7)CA BayArea91.7W8- 4 0.200  
5/13at Berkeley (18-2)CA BayShor95.26L5- 7 -0.175  
# Neutral site 88.0     0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/28ASir Francis Drake14-68   7       1.26       0.85
3/05ASan Marin12-39   8       1.26       0.75
3/06ATamalpais13-58   3       ++1.26       5.18
3/10AMarin Catholic7-13-6   1       –––1.26       -6.75
3/13HBerkeley7-9-2   0       -1.26       -1.74
3/17AUrban School17-215   11       +1.26       3.71
3/19HRedwood9-10-1   3       –-1.26       -3.89
3/24HSonoma Academy11-110   13       –-1.26       -2.79
3/25ANovato3-21   -1       1.26       1.64
3/27HMarin Academy11-110   9       -1.26       1.34
3/30ABranson12-39   9       1.26       0.22
3/31ABentley School11-56   8       1.26       -1.72
4/02ASaint Ignatius Prep8-13-5   -11       +++1.26       6.06
4/03ALick-Wilmerding6-51   3       –1.26       -2.16
4/17HArchbishop Mitty12-210   7       +-1.26       2.82
4/21HStuart Hall19-118   19       -1.26       -1.24
4/23ACardinal Newman1-3-2   0       –1.26       -2.31
4/28HLick-Wilmerding4-31   6       ––-1.26       -4.67
5/01HCardinal Newman5-41   3       -1.26       -1.83
5/06HMarin Academy14-212   9       +-1.26       3.34
5/08NCardinal Newman8-44   2       +0.00       2.43
5/13ABerkeley5-7-2   -3       1.26       0.78
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17AUrban School17-2-3.71
3/24HSonoma Academy11-12.79
3/27HMarin Academy11-10.00
4/17HArchbishop Mitty12-20.00
4/21HStuart Hall19-11.24
5/06HMarin Academy14-2-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 93.   Natl CCR Rank 403
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.26   Natl Power Rank 403
Natl SOS Rating 87.93   Natl SOS Rank 783
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 1137
W-L Pct Rating 0.73   W-L Pct Rank 500
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.7



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