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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Winchester Thurston Bears (2-10)

Region: PA Div2-S1

State: PA

Coach: Bruce Atkinson

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/17	vs. Freedom-Tampa # (8-9)	FL WFLL-A	73.2		L	5-	6		-0.275
3/18	at Clearwater (10-9)	FL WFLL-A	76.3		L	5-	13		-0.175
4/01	at Greensburg Cath Cent (14-5)	PA Div2-S1	91.0	9	L	8-	17		0.000
4/04	at Cathedral Prep (8-10)	PA Div2-S2	81.9		L	3-	12		-0.050
4/08	TRINITY (9-6)	PA Div2-S1	82.9		L	5-	11		-0.175
4/15	TAYLOR ALLDERDICE (12-3)	PA Indep	85.7		L	6-	8		-0.125
4/18	LATROBE (2-8)	PA Div1-S1	80.5		L	5-	10		-0.150
4/22	at Quaker Valley (6-9)	PA Div2-S1	77.5		L	9-	13		-0.200
4/25	TAYLOR ALLDERDICE (12-3)	PA Indep	85.7		L	13-	15		-0.125
4/29	CHARTIERS VALLEY (13-5)	PA Div2-S1	89.3		L	0-	13		0.000
5/02	CANON-MCMILLAN (3-13)	PA Div2-S1	74.0		W	13-	10		0.250
5/09	at North Catholic (1-13)	PA Div2-S1	67.8		W	5-	3		0.075
# Neutral site			80.5						-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	N	Freedom-Tampa	5-	6	-1	1		0.00		-1.81
3/18	A	Clearwater	5-	13	-8	-3	––	1.02		-4.69
4/01	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	8-	17	-9	-15	++	1.16	5.93
4/04	A	Cathedral Prep	3-	12	-9	-8		1.16	-1.11
4/08	H	Trinity	5-	11	-6	-3	–	-1.16	-3.05
4/15	H	Taylor Allderdice	6-	8	-2	-5	+	-1.16	2.52
4/18	H	Latrobe	5-	10	-5	-4		-1.16	-0.90
4/22	A	Quaker Valley	9-	13	-4	-2	–	1.16	-2.09
4/25	H	Taylor Allderdice	13-	15	-2	-5	+	-1.16	2.52
4/29	H	Chartiers Valley	0-	13	-13	-11		-1.16	-1.87
5/02	H	Canon-McMillan	13-	10	3	0	+	-1.16	2.57
5/09	A	North Catholic	5-	3	2	7	––	1.16	-4.52
									0.00	-6.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/29	H	Chartiers Valley	0-	13	1.87
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2486
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.02		Natl Power Rank	2486
Natl SOS Rating	79.97		Natl SOS Rank	2067
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	2903
W-L Pct Rating	0.17		W-L Pct Rank	2601
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7

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