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Western Albemarle Warriors (8-9)

Region: VA JeffsnState: VACoach: Brad Haws

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/19COVENANT (13-5)VA 1 VIC88.2L3-12 -0.325  
3/23at Charlottesville (2-11)VA Jeffsn79.2W11- 4 0.025  
3/27SALEM (12-6)VA RivRdg92.33L5- 6 -0.250  
3/31at Kettle Run (3-8)VA NoWest77.3W20- 1 0.000  
4/02LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (13-3)KY Div-1A90.8L8- 9 -0.250  
4/10MONTICELLO (4-8)VA Jeffsn85.8W10- 3 0.075  
4/14at St Christopher's (8-9)VA 1 VIP88.0L4-10 -0.250  
4/21JAMES RIVER (3-7)VA Jeffsn83.7W12- 2 0.025  
4/24at Woodberry Forest (6-8)VA 1 VIP88.1L3-13 -0.225  
4/27at Albemarle (16-4)VA Comw94.5L2- 6 -0.075  
5/01at Rockbridge County (8-5)VA Valley88.58W9- 5 0.200  
5/05ST ANNE'S-BELFIELD (18-2)VA 1 VIP98.6L5-12 -0.050  
5/06BRENTSVILLE (5-8)VA NoWest85.4W12- 5 0.025  
5/08at Collegiate School (13-7)VA 1 VIP94.0L2-18 -0.100  
5/12ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-5)VA Valley88.58W7- 6ot0.125  
5/14SALEM (12-6)VA RivRdg92.33W5- 3 0.250  
5/18at Broad Run (16-4)VA Dulles96.21L4-14 -0.075  
 88.9     -0.87  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/19HCovenant3-12-9   3       –––-1.65       -11.67
3/23ACharlottesville11-47   9       –1.70       -2.04
3/27HSalem5-6-1   0       -1.70       -0.70
3/31AKettle Run20-119   12       +++1.70       6.96
4/02HLouisville St Xavier8-9-1   0       -1.31       -0.78
4/10HMonticello10-37   7       -1.70       -0.43
4/14ASt Christopher's4-10-6   0       ––1.65       -5.59
4/21HJames River12-210   9       -1.70       0.60
4/24AWoodberry Forest3-13-10   -1       –––1.65       -9.48
4/27AAlbemarle2-6-4   -7       +1.69       2.94
5/01ARockbridge County9-54   2       +1.70       2.12
5/05HSt Anne's-Belfield5-12-7   -8       -1.65       0.68
5/06HBrentsville12-57   9       -1.70       -1.82
5/08ACollegiate School2-18-16   -6       –––1.65       -9.57
5/12HRockbridge County7-61   5       ––-1.70       -4.28
5/14HSalem5-32   0       +-1.70       2.30
5/18ABroad Run4-14-10   -7       –1.70       -2.72
         0.00-33.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/31AKettle Run20-1-6.96
4/21HJames River12-20.00
4/24AWoodberry Forest3-130.00
5/08ACollegiate School2-186.00
5/18ABroad Run4-140.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 824
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.22   Natl Power Rank 824
Natl SOS Rating 88.95   Natl SOS Rank 635
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.87   Natl Quality Win Rank 2847
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1605
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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