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Westerville Central Warhawks (11-8)

Region: OH 1 Reg 2State: OHCoach: Marc Ayle

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/28at Dublin Scioto (8-11)OH 1 Reg 293.0L9-102ot-0.125  
4/01at Bexley (3-10)OH 2 Reg 380.2W14- 1 0.025  
4/08LIBERTY-OLENTANGY (5-10)OH 1 Reg 290.4W11-10 0.250  
4/09at Gahanna-Lincoln (8-11)OH 2 Reg 383.1W13- 6 0.100  
4/18at Morgantown (10-4)WV88.7W16- 5 0.200  
4/22OLENTANGY HS (9-8)OH 1 Reg 192.3L9-11 -0.225  
4/24HILLIARD DAVIDSON (12-8)OH 1 Reg 294.610L9-11 -0.175  
4/27at Dublin Jerome (15-4)OH 1 Reg 297.65L3-14 0.000  
4/29at Pickerington (8-9)OH 4 North84.5W12- 8 0.100  
5/01at Perrysburg (8-9)OH 2 Reg 182.4W15- 3 0.075  
5/02at Ottawa Hills (3-5)OH 4 North76.3W18- 3 0.000  
5/04at Worthington Kilbourne (21-2)OH 1 Reg 299.21L7-21 0.000  
5/06at Westerville North (6-9)OH 1 Reg 188.9L13-18 -0.225  
5/08DELAWARE HAYES (1-12)OH 1 Reg 178.1W15- 4 0.000  
5/09WELLINGTON SCHOOL (10-6)OH 2 Reg 385.5L5- 7 -0.425  
5/13OLENTANGY ORANGE (5-11)OH 2 Reg 380.9W19- 7 0.000  
5/15WESTERVILLE SOUTH (3-15)OH 1 Reg 286.5W10- 8 0.175  
5/20NEW ALBANY (12-9)OH 2 Reg 387.1W19-15 0.125  
5/23at Hilliard Davidson (12-8)OH 1 Reg 294.610L8-13 -0.125  
 87.6     -0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28ADublin Scioto9-10-1   -5       ++1.09       4.27
4/01ABexley14-113   9       +1.44       3.74
4/08HLiberty-Olentangy11-101   0       -1.09       0.81
4/09AGahanna-Lincoln13-67   6       1.44       0.59
4/18AMorgantown16-511   2       +++0.64       9.44
4/22HOlentangy HS9-11-2   -1       -1.09       -1.33
4/24HHilliard Davidson9-11-2   -3       -1.09       1.22
4/27ADublin Jerome3-14-11   -10       1.09       -1.02
4/29APickerington12-84   6       0.78       -1.67
5/01APerrysburg15-312   7       ++1.44       4.87
5/02AOttawa Hills18-315   14       0.78       1.15
5/04AWorthington Kilbourne7-21-14   -15       1.09       0.91
5/06AWesterville North13-18-5   -1       ––1.09       -4.06
5/08HDelaware Hayes15-411   11       -1.09       0.00
5/09HWellington School5-7-2   7       –––-1.44       -8.88
5/13HOlentangy Orange19-712   11       -1.44       0.51
5/15HWesterville South10-82   3       -1.09       -1.20
5/20HNew Albany19-154   5       -1.44       -1.32
5/23AHilliard Davidson8-13-5   -5       1.09       0.40
         0.008.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01ABexley14-1-3.00
4/18AMorgantown16-5-1.00
4/27ADublin Jerome3-141.00
5/01APerrysburg15-3-2.00
5/02AOttawa Hills18-3-1.15
5/04AWorthington Kilbourne7-21-0.91
5/08HDelaware Hayes15-40.00
5/13HOlentangy Orange19-7-0.51
10-goal correction: -0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 637
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 90.95   Natl Power Rank 637
Natl SOS Rating 87.53   Natl SOS Rank 848
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 2012
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 1134
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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