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West Genesee Wildcats (20-2)

Conference: OSHLN1Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Mike Messere

Inside the Ratings & Rankings, Northeast, 3/30 to 4/03

This week's Inside the Ratings and Rankings for the Northeast region features looks at how the teams from St. Joseph's Prep (PA), Lampeter-Strasburg (PA), West Genesee (NY), and Fairport (NY) are faring.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/24IRONDEQUOIT (14-5)NY B Sec 595.3W8- 6 0.150  
4/02MERCER ISLAND (18-5)WA 1 Div-196.5W13- 3 0.150  
4/04LASALLE COLLEGE HS (21-4)PA Cath-No99.7L3- 7 -0.250  
4/09at Utica Proctor (1-17)NY A Sec 370.2W23- 0 0.000  
4/11vs. Fayetteville-Manlius # (16-5)NY A Sec 397.24W10- 2 0.225  
4/14at Liverpool (13-7)NY A Sec 395.510W15-10 0.175  
4/18BALDWINSVILLE (10-9)NY A Sec 392.6W13- 6 0.050  
4/21at Henninger (3-14)NY A Sec 383.6W15- 1 0.000  
4/23CORCORAN (16-4)NY A Sec 396.37W10- 9 0.125  
4/28OSWEGO (7-11)NY A Sec 389.1W14- 5 0.000  
5/01at Nottingham (2-13)NY B Sec 376.0W17- 0 0.000  
5/05at Auburn (12-6)NY A Sec 394.8W10- 5 0.125  
5/07CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)NY A Sec 388.1W13- 5 0.000  
5/09LIVERPOOL (13-7)NY A Sec 395.510W17- 4 0.125  
5/12at Rome Free Academy (6-12)NY A Sec 385.7W15- 3 0.000  
5/14FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (16-5)NY A Sec 397.24W9- 8 0.200  
5/19at Baldwinsville (10-9)NY A Sec 392.6W14- 5 0.100  
5/22CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (11-7)NY A Sec 394.1W13- 5 0.050  
5/30CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)NY A Sec 388.1W22- 1 0.000  
6/03vs. Liverpool # (13-7)NY A Sec 395.510W9- 4 0.150  
6/05vs. Fayetteville-Manlius # (16-5)NY A Sec 397.24W11- 9 0.225  
6/09vs. Ithaca # (18-3)NY A Sec 498.8L2- 6 -0.250  
# Neutral site 91.8     1.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24HIrondequoit8-62   4       –-1.26       -2.44
4/02HMercer Island13-310   4       +++-1.60       6.49
4/04HLaSalle College HS3-7-4   0       –-1.21       -4.00
4/09AUtica Proctor23-023   26       –1.20       -3.13
4/11NFayetteville-Manlius10-28   1       +++0.00       7.34
4/14ALiverpool15-105   3       1.20       1.93
4/18HBaldwinsville13-67   8       -1.20       -1.38
4/21AHenninger15-114   15       1.20       -0.73
4/23HCorcoran10-91   5       –-1.20       -3.83
4/28HOswego14-59   13       –-1.20       -3.58
5/01ANottingham17-017   22       ––1.20       -5.04
5/05AAuburn10-55   5       1.20       -0.21
5/07HCentral Square13-58   14       –––-1.20       -6.47
5/09HLiverpool17-413   5       +++-1.20       7.53
5/12ARome Free Academy15-312   15       –1.20       -2.80
5/14HFayetteville-Manlius9-81   2       -1.20       -0.86
5/19ABaldwinsville14-59   6       +1.20       3.02
5/22HCicero-North Syracuse13-58   8       -1.20       -0.39
5/30HCentral Square22-121   14       +++-1.20       6.53
6/03NLiverpool9-45   4       0.00       0.73
6/05NFayetteville-Manlius11-92   1       0.00       1.34
6/09NIthaca2-6-4   0       –0.00       -3.70
         0.00-3.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HMercer Island13-30.00
4/09AUtica Proctor23-03.13
4/21AHenninger15-10.73
5/01ANottingham17-05.04
5/09HLiverpool17-4-3.00
5/12ARome Free Academy15-32.80
5/30HCentral Square22-1-6.53
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 44
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 30
Natl Power Rating 98.45   Natl Power Rank 48
Natl SOS Rating 91.70   Natl SOS Rank 273
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 146
W-L Pct Rating 0.91   W-L Pct Rank 80
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 20-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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