| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Rob McCarthy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/31 | BROOKLINE (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.225 |
4/02 | at Natick (10-10) | MA 2 | 92.9 | | L | 5- | 6 | ot | -0.250 |
4/08 | at Dedham (0-17) | MA 3 | 77.1 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | FRAMINGHAM (4-14) | MA 1 | 90.0 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.175 |
4/14 | at Newton North (9-11) | MA 1 | 93.8 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.225 |
4/15 | WELLESLEY (11-11) | MA 2 | 94.9 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.300 |
4/17 | NEEDHAM (16-6) | MA 1 | 97.2 | | L | 5- | 18 | | -0.050 |
4/22 | WINCHESTER (19-4) | MA 2 | 97.3 | | L | 2- | 9 | | -0.100 |
4/25 | MARSHFIELD (14-6) | MA 1 | 96.8 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/27 | BRAINTREE (14-8) | MA 1 | 95.3 | | L | 9- | 10 | ot | -0.225 |
4/29 | at Brookline (7-13) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.225 |
5/01 | at Norwood (17-5) | MA 2 | 96.8 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.125 |
5/04 | at Framingham (4-14) | MA 1 | 90.0 | | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.275 |
5/06 | WALPOLE (24-1) | MA 2 | 98.8 | 1 | L | 6- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | NEWTON NORTH (9-11) | MA 1 | 93.8 | | W | 7- | 3 | | 0.225 |
5/11 | MILTON (1-16) | MA 2 | 84.7 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/14 | at Needham (16-6) | MA 1 | 97.2 | | L | 3- | 19 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Braintree (14-8) | MA 1 | 95.3 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.325 |
5/18 | at Scituate (17-5) | MA 3 | 97.2 | | L | 8- | 18 | | -0.075 |
5/20 | at Hingham (16-7) | MA 2 | 97.2 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.025 |
| | 93.5 | | | | | | -0.40 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/31 | H | Brookline | 10- | 8 | 2 | 1 | | -0.91 | 1.13 | |
4/02 | A | Natick | 5- | 6 | -1 | 0 | | 0.91 | -1.33 | |
4/08 | A | Dedham | 19- | 2 | 17 | 13 | ++ | 0.91 | 4.22 | |
4/09 | H | Framingham | 12- | 4 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -0.91 | 5.08 | |
4/14 | A | Newton North | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 0.91 | 0.19 | |
4/15 | H | Wellesley | 7- | 5 | 2 | -2 | + | -0.91 | 3.55 | |
4/17 | H | Needham | 5- | 18 | -13 | -8 | –– | -0.91 | -5.19 | |
4/22 | H | Winchester | 2- | 9 | -7 | -6 | | -0.91 | -0.97 | |
4/25 | H | Marshfield | 3- | 10 | -7 | -5 | – | -0.91 | -2.14 | |
4/27 | H | Braintree | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | -0.91 | 0.14 | |
4/29 | A | Brookline | 5- | 6 | -1 | -1 | | 0.91 | -0.05 | |
5/01 | A | Norwood | 5- | 14 | -9 | -5 | – | 0.91 | -3.63 | |
5/04 | A | Framingham | 7- | 9 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.91 | -3.09 | |
5/06 | H | Walpole | 6- | 18 | -12 | -11 | | -0.91 | -1.18 | |
5/08 | H | Newton North | 7- | 3 | 4 | 1 | + | -0.91 | 3.37 | |
5/11 | H | Milton | 16- | 5 | 11 | 8 | + | -0.91 | 3.17 | |
5/14 | A | Needham | 3- | 19 | -16 | -10 | ––– | 0.91 | -6.37 | |
5/15 | A | Braintree | 10- | 9 | 1 | -3 | + | 0.91 | 3.96 | |
5/18 | A | Scituate | 8- | 18 | -10 | -7 | – | 0.91 | -2.65 | |
5/20 | A | Hingham | 5- | 12 | -7 | -9 | | 0.91 | 1.77 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | A | Dedham | 19- | 2 | -4.22 |
4/17 | H | Needham | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
5/06 | H | Walpole | 6- | 18 | 1.18 |
5/11 | H | Milton | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
5/14 | A | Needham | 3- | 19 | 6.00 |
5/18 | A | Scituate | 8- | 18 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.25 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 461 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.93 | | Natl Power Rank | 461 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 93.52 | | Natl SOS Rank | 84 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2284 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.35 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2053 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.3 |
|
