| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Brian Dilley |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/11 | MADISON (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.250 |
3/13 | at West Springfield (14-4) | VA Patriot | 92.3 | 6 | L | 4- | 5 | | -0.200 |
3/17 | at Centreville (5-8) | VA Concord | 87.1 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.175 |
3/20 | HERNDON (8-6) | VA Concord | 90.2 | 9 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.325 |
3/24 | OAKTON (5-8) | VA Concord | 90.9 | 7 | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.225 |
3/27 | at Fairfax (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.6 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/07 | LEONARDTOWN (6-6) | MD 43 East | 85.9 | | L | 3- | 5 | | -0.375 |
4/16 | CHANTILLY (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.225 |
4/22 | at Dominion HS (11-7) | VA Dulles | 91.0 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.300 |
4/25 | FALLS CHURCH (7-8) | VA Nationl | 82.1 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Robinson (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | FAIRFAX (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.6 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/05 | vs. Robinson # (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.350 |
5/08 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 4- | 5 | 2ot | -0.200 |
5/12 | WOODSON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 93.3 | 5 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.4 | | | | | | -0.68 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | H | Madison | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | -1.30 | -0.77 | |
3/13 | A | West Springfield | 4- | 5 | -1 | -2 | | 1.30 | 0.90 | |
3/17 | A | Centreville | 7- | 4 | 3 | 3 | | 1.30 | -0.33 | |
3/20 | H | Herndon | 7- | 9 | -2 | 3 | –– | -1.30 | -5.19 | |
3/24 | H | Oakton | 9- | 6 | 3 | 1 | + | -1.30 | 2.18 | |
3/27 | A | Fairfax | 6- | 4 | 2 | 5 | – | 1.30 | -2.57 | |
4/07 | H | Leonardtown | 3- | 5 | -2 | 5 | ––– | -1.16 | | -7.31 |
4/16 | H | Chantilly | 5- | 7 | -2 | -1 | | -1.30 | -0.86 | |
4/22 | A | Dominion HS | 9- | 4 | 5 | -2 | +++ | 1.50 | | 7.41 |
4/25 | H | Falls Church | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | | -1.30 | 1.82 | |
4/27 | A | Robinson | 4- | 8 | -4 | -5 | | 1.30 | 1.04 | |
5/01 | H | Fairfax | 9- | 5 | 4 | 7 | – | -1.30 | -3.17 | |
5/05 | N | Robinson | 7- | 5 | 2 | -4 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.74 | |
5/08 | N | Chantilly | 4- | 5 | -1 | -2 | | 0.00 | 1.44 | |
5/12 | H | Woodson | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | -1.30 | -0.22 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/25 | H | Falls Church | 15- | 2 | -1.82 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 725 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.06 | | Natl Power Rank | 725 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 90.45 | | Natl SOS Rank | 417 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.68 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2751 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1644 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
|
