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Winter Springs Bears (11-5)

Region: FL 4B CentrlState: FL

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/11at Matanzas (3-9)FL 4B Centrl76.1W14- 2 0.000  
2/12LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (16-5)FL 8B Centrl94.33L10-20 -0.125  
2/17at Hagerty (11-6)FL 5B Centrl89.1W12- 3 0.250  
2/20at Flagler Palm Coast (11-6)FL 4B Centrl88.0W14-10 0.250  
2/24at Lake Brantley (20-2)FL 5B Centrl95.91L2-12 0.000  
2/26NEASE (15-4)FL 3B Centrl93.84L6-12 -0.175  
3/05at Oviedo (2-13)FL 5B Centrl78.9W18-12 0.075  
3/12LAKE MARY (10-5)FL 4B Centrl91.610W9- 7 0.175  
3/17LAKE HOWELL (6-9)FL 5B Centrl81.6W11- 2 0.000  
3/19at Lyman (6-10)FL 5B Centrl82.5L8- 9ot-0.350  
3/24at Seminole (5-11)FL 4B Centrl77.2W17- 3 0.025  
3/25UNIVERSITY (5-8)FL 8B Centrl77.0W17- 6 0.000  
4/02OLYMPIA (8-10)FL 7B Centrl85.4W12- 3 0.100  
4/06vs. Seminole # (5-11)FL 4B Centrl77.2W16- 3 0.000  
4/08vs. Flagler Palm Coast # (11-6)FL 4B Centrl88.0W11-10 0.200  
4/14at Lake Brantley (20-2)FL 5B Centrl95.91L3-18 0.000  
# Neutral site 85.8     0.43  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/11AMatanzas14-212   10       2.11       1.67
2/12HLake Highland Prep10-20-10   -5       ––-2.11       -5.39
2/17AHagerty12-39   0       +++2.11       8.86
2/20AFlagler Palm Coast14-104   0       +2.11       3.62
2/24ALake Brantley2-12-10   -12       2.11       2.00
2/26HNease6-12-6   -3       -2.11       -2.65
3/05AOviedo18-126   7       2.11       -0.75
3/12HLake Mary9-72   3       -2.11       -0.68
3/17HLake Howell11-29   10       -2.11       -0.77
3/19ALyman8-9-1   4       ––2.11       -5.48
3/24ASeminole17-314   9       ++2.11       4.90
3/25HUniversity17-611   16       ––-2.11       -5.29
4/02HOlympia12-39   6       +-2.11       2.66
4/06NSeminole16-313   11       0.00       1.80
4/08NFlagler Palm Coast11-101   2       0.00       -1.49
4/14ALake Brantley3-18-15   -12       2.11       -3.00
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/11AMatanzas14-2-1.67
2/12HLake Highland Prep10-200.00
2/24ALake Brantley2-12-2.00
3/24ASeminole17-3-4.00
3/25HUniversity17-65.29
4/06NSeminole16-3-1.80
4/14ALake Brantley3-183.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 576
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.69   Natl Power Rank 576
Natl SOS Rating 85.50   Natl SOS Rank 1149
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.43   Natl Quality Win Rank 737
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 636
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -10.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.3



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