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Wesley Chapel Warriors (11-5)

Region: FL WFLL-AState: FLCoach: Tom Fitzsimons

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/14at Hernando LC (1-10)FL WFLL-A55.9L0- 1 -0.500  
2/21at Cypress Lake (10-5)FL SWFL-NE75.5W16-12 0.100  
2/24TAMPA CATHOLIC (3-9)FL WFLL-A62.6W18- 0 0.000  
2/28CITRUS PARK (10-4)FL WFLL-A77.1W16- 3 0.050  
3/06at Tampa Jesuit (10-8)FL WFLL-A75.7W16- 4 0.125  
3/07ST PETERSBURG (3-13)FL WFLL-A59.9W17- 1 0.000  
3/10at Wharton (9-10)FL WFLL-B67.3W21- 5 0.000  
3/14CLEARWATER (10-9)FL WFLL-A76.3W18- 5 0.025  
3/17vs. Denver East # (7-8)CO FRange90.6L9-10 -0.025  
3/20FISH HAWK LC (9-7)FL WFLL-A74.7W16- 3 0.025  
3/24CHRISTIAN BROS (19-3)MO Div-194.7L6-14 0.000  
4/02H.B. PLANT (15-2)FL WFLL-A83.15L11-17 -0.300  
4/04at Lakewood Ranch (8-6)FL WFLL-A75.8W14- 6 0.125  
4/14at Freedom-Tampa (8-9)FL WFLL-A73.2W12- 8 0.100  
4/23TAMPA JESUIT (10-8)FL WFLL-A75.7W12- 7 0.075  
4/25vs. H.B. Plant # (15-2)FL WFLL-A83.15L8-13 -0.275  
# Neutral site 75.1     -0.48  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/21ACypress Lake16-124   6       0.87       -1.87
2/24HTampa Catholic18-018   19       -0.87       -1.25
2/28HCitrus Park16-313   8       ++-0.87       5.33
3/06ATampa Jesuit16-412   5       +++0.87       6.56
3/07HSt Petersburg17-116   21       ––-0.87       -4.96
3/10AWharton21-516   12       +0.87       3.79
3/14HClearwater18-513   9       ++-0.87       4.12
3/17NDenver East9-10-1   -9       +++0.00       8.06
3/20HFish Hawk LC16-313   9       ++-0.87       4.32
3/24HChristian Bros6-14-8   -12       ++-0.75       4.37
4/02HH.B. Plant11-17-6   2       –––-0.87       -8.13
4/04ALakewood Ranch14-68   5       +0.87       2.95
4/14AFreedom-Tampa12-84   6       –0.87       -2.41
4/23HTampa Jesuit12-75   7       –-0.87       -2.19
4/25NH.B. Plant8-13-5   1       –––0.00       -6.25
         0.0012.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/24HTampa Catholic18-01.25
2/28HCitrus Park16-3-3.00
3/06ATampa Jesuit16-4-2.00
3/07HSt Petersburg17-14.96
3/10AWharton21-5-3.79
3/14HClearwater18-5-3.00
3/20HFish Hawk LC16-3-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.57

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1654
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.56   Natl Power Rank 1654
Natl SOS Rating 75.10   Natl SOS Rank 2618
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.48   Natl Quality Win Rank 2457
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 639
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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