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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Winters Mill Falcons (9-7)

Region: MD 32 West

State: MD

Coach: Sal Picataggi

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/24	WESTMINSTER (8-7)	MD 43 North	88.6		L	4-	5		-0.300
3/31	CENTURY (12-4)	MD 21 West	92.4		L	7-	8		-0.250
4/02	at Middletown (8-6)	MD 32 West	85.6		W	9-	8		0.175
4/06	at South Carroll (12-2)	MD 21 West	93.4		L	10-	12		-0.175
4/07	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-10)	MD 32 West	72.2		W	14-	3		0.000
4/11	at Catonsville (14-4)	MD 43 South	94.2	6	L	10-	12		-0.125
4/11	vs. Marriott's Ridge # (13-4)	MD 21 West	92.4		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/16	FREDERICK (2-12)	MD 32 West	77.8		W	16-	6		0.000
4/22	at Francis Scott Key (5-8)	MD 32 West	81.7		W	11-	2		0.075
4/24	at South Hagerstown (1-14)	MD 32 West	66.3		W	24-	0		0.000
4/28	at Liberty (9-7)	MD 21 West	88.2		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
4/30	at North Carroll (7-8)	MD 43 North	89.6		W	11-	9		0.300
5/01	WALKERSVILLE (12-3)	MD 32 West	90.5		L	8-	9		-0.300
5/08	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-10)	MD 32 West	72.2		W	17-	0		0.000
5/09	vs. Clarksburg # (7-7)	MD 32 West	74.0		W	20-	2		0.000
5/12	at Walkersville (12-3)	MD 32 West	90.5		L	6-	7		-0.250
# Neutral site			84.4						-0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Westminster	4-	5	-1	2	–	-1.02	-3.25
3/31	H	Century	7-	8	-1	0		-1.02	-0.67
4/02	A	Middletown	9-	8	1	3		1.02	-1.97
4/06	A	South Carroll	10-	12	-2	-3		1.02	0.69
4/07	H	North Hagerstown	14-	3	11	17	––	-1.02	-5.51
4/11	A	Catonsville	10-	12	-2	-5	+	1.02	3.15
4/11	N	Marriott's Ridge	6-	7	-1	-2		0.00	0.52
4/16	H	Frederick	16-	6	10	10		-1.02	0.11
4/22	A	Francis Scott Key	11-	2	9	7		1.02	1.98
4/24	A	South Hagerstown	24-	0	24	21	+	1.02	3.13
4/28	A	Liberty	10-	9	1	1		1.02	0.33
4/30	A	North Carroll	11-	9	2	-2	+	1.02	3.97
5/01	H	Walkersville	8-	9	-1	2	–	-1.02	-3.42
5/08	H	North Hagerstown	17-	0	17	17		-1.02	0.49
5/09	N	Clarksburg	20-	2	18	16		0.00	1.83
5/12	A	Walkersville	6-	7	-1	0		1.02	-1.39
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	North Hagerstown	14-	3	5.51
4/16	H	Frederick	16-	6	-0.11
4/24	A	South Hagerstown	24-	0	-3.13
5/08	H	North Hagerstown	17-	0	-0.49
5/09	N	Clarksburg	20-	2	-1.83
10-goal correction: -0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	815
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.27		Natl Power Rank	815
Natl SOS Rating	84.28		Natl SOS Rank	1360
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.83		Natl Quality Win Rank	2852
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1183
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	11.3

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