| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Jon Fitzgerald |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/17 | ROBINSON (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
3/24 | at South Lakes (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.125 |
3/25 | LANDON (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.150 |
3/27 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/31 | MADISON (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.200 |
4/02 | at McLean (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | W | 17- | 8 | | 0.000 |
4/06 | at La Costa Canyon (17-4) | CA North | 97.1 | | L | 9- | 14 | | -0.125 |
4/09 | at Torrey Pines (10-9) | CA North | 93.0 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.275 |
4/16 | at Stone Bridge (8-5) | VA Liberty | 90.2 | 10 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.200 |
4/24 | at Langley (21-1) | VA Liberty | 98.2 | 1 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.150 |
4/25 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.075 |
5/01 | MARSHALL (3-9) | VA Liberty | 80.8 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | vs. Madison # (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 13- | 15 | | -0.275 |
5/12 | at Westfield (7-8) | VA Concord | 90.1 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.225 |
5/14 | at West Springfield (14-4) | VA Patriot | 92.3 | 6 | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.250 |
5/18 | vs. Robinson # (12-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 4 | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.200 |
5/20 | vs. Chantilly # (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 5- | 6 | 2ot | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 91.0 | | | | | | 0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/17 | H | Robinson | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -1.30 | 1.36 | |
3/24 | A | South Lakes | 12- | 7 | 5 | 5 | | 1.30 | 0.29 | |
3/25 | H | Landon | 5- | 10 | -5 | -4 | | -1.36 | | -1.01 |
3/27 | H | Marshall | 16- | 4 | 12 | 14 | | -1.30 | -1.70 | |
3/31 | H | Madison | 13- | 10 | 3 | 2 | | -1.30 | 1.15 | |
4/02 | A | McLean | 17- | 8 | 9 | 10 | | 1.30 | -0.93 | |
4/06 | A | La Costa Canyon | 9- | 14 | -5 | -5 | | 1.15 | | -0.03 |
4/09 | A | Torrey Pines | 6- | 5 | 1 | -1 | | 1.15 | | 1.88 |
4/16 | A | Stone Bridge | 9- | 5 | 4 | 2 | | 1.30 | 1.81 | |
4/24 | A | Langley | 5- | 6 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.30 | 2.53 | |
4/25 | H | Thos Jefferson | 11- | 6 | 5 | 7 | – | -1.30 | -2.34 | |
5/01 | H | Marshall | 18- | 4 | 14 | 14 | | -1.30 | 0.30 | |
5/06 | N | Madison | 13- | 15 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.00 | -2.55 | |
5/12 | A | Westfield | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | 1.30 | 0.22 | |
5/14 | A | West Springfield | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 1.30 | 1.83 | |
5/18 | N | Robinson | 4- | 7 | -3 | -2 | | 0.00 | -1.34 | |
5/20 | N | Chantilly | 5- | 6 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -0.64 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | H | Marshall | 16- | 4 | 1.70 |
5/01 | H | Marshall | 18- | 4 | -0.30 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 368 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.31 | | Natl Power Rank | 368 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.05 | | Natl SOS Rank | 335 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 744 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 830 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
