| Region: VA Nationl | State: VA | Coach: Greg Beer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/11 | MCLEAN (3-10) | VA Liberty | 82.2 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.300 |
3/13 | at Annandale (12-4) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 8 | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.075 |
3/17 | at Madison (11-3) | VA Liberty | 93.9 | 3 | L | 11- | 17 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.175 |
3/24 | WASHINGTON-LEE (10-5) | VA Nationl | 85.3 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.275 |
3/30 | MOUNT VERNON (11-6) | VA Nationl | 86.5 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.250 |
4/03 | COLONIAL FORGE (10-5) | VA Comw | 91.6 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.075 |
4/14 | at Falls Church (7-8) | VA Nationl | 82.1 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.275 |
4/22 | WAKEFIELD HS (0-12) | VA Nationl | 65.0 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | at Edison (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.0 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.200 |
4/25 | at South Lakes (5-7) | VA Liberty | 87.9 | | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.125 |
4/25 | vs. Dominion HS # (11-7) | VA Dulles | 91.0 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.450 |
4/27 | at J.E.B. Stuart (1-11) | VA Nationl | 70.3 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | at Chantilly (16-3) | VA Concord | 95.4 | 2 | L | 5- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | EDISON (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.0 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.150 |
5/05 | vs. Mount Vernon # (11-6) | VA Nationl | 86.5 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.225 |
5/12 | at West Springfield (14-4) | VA Patriot | 92.3 | 6 | L | 5- | 15 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.9 | | | | | | -0.95 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | H | McLean | 8- | 10 | -2 | 2 | –– | -1.30 | -4.47 | |
3/13 | A | Annandale | 7- | 12 | -5 | -7 | + | 1.30 | 2.22 | |
3/17 | A | Madison | 11- | 17 | -6 | -11 | ++ | 1.30 | 4.82 | |
3/20 | H | Thos Jefferson | 5- | 9 | -4 | -3 | | -1.30 | -1.28 | |
3/24 | H | Washington-Lee | 5- | 7 | -2 | 1 | – | -1.30 | -3.45 | |
3/30 | H | Mount Vernon | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | -1.30 | -1.49 | |
4/03 | H | Colonial Forge | 7- | 11 | -4 | -7 | + | -1.49 | | 3.10 |
4/14 | A | Falls Church | 7- | 8 | -1 | 1 | | 1.30 | -1.60 | |
4/22 | H | Wakefield HS | 15- | 2 | 13 | 16 | – | -1.30 | -2.93 | |
4/23 | A | Edison | 8- | 4 | 4 | 2 | + | 1.30 | 2.11 | |
4/25 | A | South Lakes | 3- | 7 | -4 | -5 | | 1.30 | 1.36 | |
4/25 | N | Dominion HS | 10- | 6 | 4 | -8 | +++ | 0.00 | | 11.97 |
4/27 | A | J.E.B. Stuart | 19- | 8 | 11 | 9 | | 1.30 | 1.77 | |
4/28 | A | Chantilly | 5- | 14 | -9 | -12 | + | 1.30 | 2.72 | |
5/01 | H | Edison | 8- | 3 | 5 | 4 | | -1.30 | 0.51 | |
5/05 | N | Mount Vernon | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.19 | |
5/12 | A | West Springfield | 5- | 15 | -10 | -10 | | 1.30 | -0.11 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 15.07 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/22 | H | Wakefield HS | 15- | 2 | 2.93 |
4/27 | A | J.E.B. Stuart | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
5/12 | A | West Springfield | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.11 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1570 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.99 | | Natl Power Rank | 1570 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.83 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1272 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.95 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2939 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.29 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2227 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.0 |
| 
