Sat Aug 8 14:45:57 EDT 2009
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 AL 3.40 49 6 10 6 9 7 11 CC 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AR 3.16 89 16 17 12 16 13 15 AZ 2.62 57 12 10 14 10 6 5 CA North CIF 2.89 604 134 136 102 85 52 96 CA North Club 2.89 238 53 43 41 39 29 33 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA Sou CIF 2.80 495 106 108 97 62 41 82 CA San Diego CIF 2.76 372 96 78 59 41 34 64 CO 3.09 471 89 93 85 64 54 86 CT CIAC 2.78 709 152 174 108 106 54 115 CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DE 2.68 324 74 79 50 45 33 43 FL Central 3.28 379 72 78 59 53 36 82 FL South 4.05 179 34 21 26 21 24 55 FL Club 3.07 415 83 88 68 53 50 73 GA 2.99 413 99 83 61 54 35 81 GA Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NY Sec 6 Club 2.26 52 14 15 7 6 8 2 ID 2.78 155 38 36 18 25 17 21 IL I 3.11 279 60 56 57 27 32 47 IL II 3.30 242 50 42 38 33 23 56 IN 2.74 234 54 51 46 27 20 36 KA 3.00 70 17 13 12 9 5 14 KY 3.23 154 33 22 32 23 15 29 LA 2.84 73 16 15 12 12 4 14 ME 2.59 283 69 54 63 37 27 33 MD-Miaa-A/IAC 4.99 232 27 33 29 36 16 91 MD-Miaa-B 3.02 75 16 20 9 7 7 16 MD-Miaa-C 3.38 75 18 11 8 10 10 18 MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC 4.21 291 52 44 37 37 34 87 MD 4321 2.82 1025 249 211 169 147 82 167 MA East 2.90 1332 303 253 235 186 131 224 MA Cent 2.83 228 53 45 42 27 28 33 MA West 3.01 119 29 20 20 17 11 22 MI 3.72 769 163 137 126 88 79 176 MI 2 7.45 145 19 20 17 8 7 74 MI 3 2.91 93 17 21 23 9 8 15 MI Club 2.86 345 80 82 56 32 26 69 MN 3.18 100 27 13 16 16 7 21 MO 2.98 278 61 58 49 35 26 49 NE 3.40 72 16 9 9 13 7 18 NE/East,North,ISL 2.88 429 95 94 70 49 43 78 NE/West I 3.43 121 28 17 22 15 8 31 NE/West II/III 3.09 252 50 54 44 33 25 46 NH I/II/III 2.90 383 79 84 69 58 32 62 NJ 2.80 1489 324 336 252 201 140 236 NV 3.16 104 19 20 17 20 9 19 NM 1.00 4 2 2 0 0 0 0 NY-Wch-City 3.32 288 57 51 60 29 27 64 NY-Catholic 3.57 86 14 10 13 18 15 16 NY-Sect 1 2.95 419 95 78 85 51 39 71 NY-Sect 2 3.17 246 51 56 29 37 19 54 NY-Sect 3 3.08 419 97 75 76 54 34 83 NY-Sect 4 3.01 177 39 41 25 24 12 36 NY-Sect 5 3.19 335 52 77 51 53 38 64 NY-Sect 6 3.34 310 56 65 42 45 38 66 NY-Sect 8 2.98 464 94 97 74 72 53 74 NY-Sect 9 2.89 168 46 26 25 21 22 28 NY-Sect 10 3.73 93 12 13 20 12 12 24 NY-Sect 11 3.08 421 78 89 65 57 56 76 NC Pub 3.09 504 117 101 76 60 53 97 NC Pri 3.36 155 27 34 18 20 20 36 NC Club 6.79 49 4 8 5 3 4 25 ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH I 3.50 461 90 83 77 59 42 110 OH II 3.81 419 77 65 56 54 39 128 OH IIIA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH III 3.97 295 52 41 43 36 29 94 OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OR 2.92 400 84 86 66 49 54 61 PA PSLA 2.82 736 168 161 116 95 74 122 PA Independent 3.36 253 47 47 45 31 20 63 PA West 2.97 283 66 50 58 42 17 50 PA Central 2.87 439 110 89 67 57 46 70 Rhode Island 2.80 165 41 26 25 30 21 22 SC 3.02 178 40 39 25 20 18 36 TN D1 3.82 120 25 25 7 20 7 36 TN D2 4.27 156 27 29 15 20 11 54 TX 1 3.02 251 57 41 39 48 28 38 TX 2 3.04 343 75 57 62 56 36 58 UT 2.76 293 56 77 57 35 23 45 VT I 3.21 138 31 28 20 20 10 29 VT II 3.32 136 27 30 18 19 15 27 VA Northern AAA 2.80 237 58 47 44 27 25 36 VA/Northwest AAA 3.33 199 40 43 23 25 25 43 VA Private I 4.57 108 13 14 18 13 12 38 VA II-III Indep AA 4.52 127 17 11 11 26 13 49 VA VSHL AA 3.53 170 35 21 36 18 30 30 VA AAA East-Indep 2.84 243 58 54 38 32 21 40 WA I 3.03 137 29 32 16 19 12 29 WA II 2.69 209 46 48 38 31 17 29 WI 3.02 250 50 55 42 37 25 41 VA Priv III 4.41 108 9 17 15 17 12 38 CANADA 2.61 378 100 90 62 50 32 44 WY 3.91 81 17 13 13 11 7 20 WY 1.88 30 9 9 4 5 3 0 WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 2.96 23440 5179 4833 3949 3157 2276 4055 total games............... = 23440 ave error (goals)......... = 2.96 total upsets.............. = 7641 % of games within 1 goal.. = 22.09 % of games within 2 goals. = 42.71 % of games within 3 goals. = 59.56 % of games within 4 goals. = 73.03 % of games within 5 goals. = 82.74 % of games > 5 goals. = 17.30
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