High School Computer Ratings

Agawam Brownies (14-7)

Region: MA West D1

State: MA

Coach: Carla Warner

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/03	at Westfield HS, MA (2-11)	MA West D1	65.4		W	17-	4		0.025
4/13	CATHEDRAL, MA (2-13)	MA West D1	62.4		W	16-	2		0.000
4/14	CATHEDRAL, MA (2-13)	MA West D1	62.4			-
4/16	at Suffield Academy (15-2)	NE	81.8		L	8-	13		-0.100
4/17	WESTFIELD HS, MA (2-11)	MA West D1	65.4		W	18-	6		0.000
4/20	at South Hadley (10-10)	MA West D1	72.2		W	17-	11		0.175
4/22	WEST SPRINGFIELD, MA (2-12)	MA West D1	63.7		W	13-	3		0.000
4/23	at Longmeadow (21-2)	MA West D1	87.6	2	L	6-	17		0.000
4/24	vs. Berkshire School # (5-13)	NE	72.9		W	15-	14		0.150
4/28	at Northampton (8-7)	MA West D1	73.7		W	17-	12		0.175
4/30	MINNECHAUG (18-3)	MA West D1	82.0	8	L	12-	17		-0.225
5/05	at Amherst-Pelham (7-10)	MA West D1	69.0		W	17-	9		0.100
5/08	at East Longmeadow (9-8)	MA West D1	73.3		W	14-	10		0.175
5/11	at West Springfield, MA (2-12)	MA West D1	63.7		W	15-	4		0.000
5/13	at Minnechaug (18-3)	MA West D1	82.0	8	L	8-	16		-0.150
5/15	AMHERST-PELHAM (7-10)	MA West D1	69.0		W	16-	6		0.050
5/18	EAST LONGMEADOW (9-8)	MA West D1	73.3		W	18-	9		0.125
5/20	SOUTH HADLEY (10-10)	MA West D1	72.2		W	13-	12		0.100
5/22	NORTHAMPTON (8-7)	MA West D1	73.7		W	17-	7		0.125
5/26	LONGMEADOW (21-2)	MA West D1	87.6	2	L	6-	18		-0.025
5/29	NORTHAMPTON (8-7)	MA West D1	73.7		L	13-	14	2ot	-0.375
6/02	at Minnechaug (18-3)	MA West D1	82.0	8	L	5-	10		-0.150
# Neutral site			74.6						0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Westfield HS, MA	17-	4	13	9	++	1.24	4.21
4/13	H	Cathedral, MA	16-	2	14	14		-1.24	0.14
4/16	A	Suffield Academy	8-	13	-5	-6		1.13		0.86
4/17	H	Westfield HS, MA	18-	6	12	11		-1.24	0.73
4/20	A	South Hadley	17-	11	6	3	+	1.24	2.76
4/22	H	West Springfield, MA	13-	3	10	12	–	-1.24	-2.17
4/23	A	Longmeadow	6-	17	-11	-12		1.24	0.65
4/24	N	Berkshire School	15-	14	1	4	–	0.00		-3.08
4/28	A	Northampton	17-	12	5	3	+	1.24	2.11
4/30	H	Minnechaug	12-	17	-5	-1	–	-1.24	-3.58
5/05	A	Amherst-Pelham	17-	9	8	6	+	1.24	2.15
5/08	A	East Longmeadow	14-	10	4	3		1.24	1.00
5/11	A	West Springfield, MA	15-	4	11	10		1.24	1.32
5/13	A	Minnechaug	8-	16	-8	-4	––	1.24	-4.09
5/15	H	Amherst-Pelham	16-	6	10	8		-1.24	1.67
5/18	H	East Longmeadow	18-	9	9	5	+	-1.24	3.52
5/20	H	South Hadley	13-	12	1	6	––	-1.24	-4.72
5/22	H	Northampton	17-	7	10	5	++	-1.24	4.62
5/26	H	Longmeadow	6-	18	-12	-9	–	-1.24	-2.84
5/29	H	Northampton	13-	14	-1	5	–––	-1.24	-6.38
6/02	A	Minnechaug	5-	10	-5	-4		1.24	-1.09
									0.00	-2.22