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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Ashley Eagles (12-4)

Region: NC SE

State: NC

Coach: Ridge Turner

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	at Middle Creek (2-10)	NC East	57.4		W	18-	2		0.025
3/07	at Carrboro (6-8)	NC E Cen	59.4		W	12-	7		0.150
3/10	at Topsail (1-10)	NC SE	51.8		W	15-	2		0.000
3/13	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (11-6)	NC SE	63.3		W	8-	7		0.250
3/17	TOPSAIL (1-10)	NC SE	51.8		W	15-	0		0.000
3/20	RIVERSIDE, NC (0-14)	NC E Cen	52.7		W	19-	3		0.000
3/24	at Hoggard (17-1)	NC SE	69.6	4	L	7-	12		-0.125
3/25	LANEY (9-6)	NC SE	62.2		W	7-	4		0.200
3/27	NEW BERN CLUB (2-7)	NC SE	52.0		W	17-	1		0.000
4/02	at New Hanover (4-9)	NC SE	57.4		W	21-	9		0.000
4/15	at Laney (9-6)	NC SE	62.2		W	10-	9		0.225
4/17	NEW HANOVER (4-9)	NC SE	57.4		W	18-	4		0.000
4/21	HOGGARD (17-1)	NC SE	69.6	4	L	7-	10		-0.150
4/23	at Wayne Club (1-7)	NC SE	51.5		W	20-	3		0.000
4/27	at Cape Fear Academy (11-6)	NC SE	63.3		L	6-	20		-0.225
5/01	at Myers Park (14-5)	NC SW	68.6	5	L	9-	16		-0.075
			58.5						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Middle Creek	18-	2	16	9	+++	0.53	6.74
3/07	A	Carrboro	12-	7	5	4		0.53	1.25
3/10	A	Topsail	15-	2	13	15	–	0.53	-2.31
3/13	H	Cape Fear Academy	8-	7	1	0		-0.53	0.50
3/17	H	Topsail	15-	0	15	16		-0.53	-1.36
3/20	H	Riverside, NC	19-	3	16	15		-0.53	1.21
3/24	A	Hoggard	7-	12	-5	-5		0.53	0.30
3/25	H	Laney	7-	4	3	2		-0.53	1.12
3/27	H	New Bern Club	17-	1	16	17		-0.53	-0.88
4/02	A	New Hanover	21-	9	12	10		0.53	1.67
4/15	A	Laney	10-	9	1	1		0.53	0.17
4/17	H	New Hanover	18-	4	14	11	+	-0.53	2.62
4/21	H	Hoggard	7-	10	-3	-4		-0.53	1.25
4/23	A	Wayne Club	20-	3	17	16		0.53	1.22
4/27	A	Cape Fear Academy	6-	20	-14	-1	–––	0.53	-13.45
5/01	A	Myers Park	9-	16	-7	-7		0.53	-0.07
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	A	Middle Creek	18-	2	-6.00
3/10	A	Topsail	15-	2	2.31
3/17	H	Topsail	15-	0	1.36
3/20	H	Riverside, NC	19-	3	-1.21
3/27	H	New Bern Club	17-	1	0.88
4/02	A	New Hanover	21-	9	-1.67
4/17	H	New Hanover	18-	4	-2.62
4/23	A	Wayne Club	20-	3	-1.22
4/27	A	Cape Fear Academy	6-	20	4.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1614
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.89		Natl Power Rank	1614
Natl SOS Rating	47.38		Natl SOS Rank	2136
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	683
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	379
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3

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